Ag trade ideas

Anybody thinking about a Long soyoil/ Short Soymeal spread here?

- Extremely low oïl value in the crush
- Palm oïl rallying + El Nino
- Soyoil forming something like a triple bottom
- Soymeal curve getting bearish

Here it is. Long ZL Dec / Short ZM Dec @ -9602( 3 oïl for 2 meal base ).
 
I did some study on correlation between soybean, sugar and coffee with real and I was surprised by the strength of the link. Correlation was on the 30-50 % range for monthly difference which is a lot !
 
Excpetionnal situation on Live Cattle:
I just saw that we have a record contango on the OCT & DEC expiries AND a very strong backwardation between AUG & APR16 !
It seems very strange to have bot record contango and backwardation. Any idea on whats happening on this market ?
 
interesting situation: 3rd time someone bought/sold near 500-600 contraсts @hezf-g
two of these were @12:59(chicago)
and days before there was kinda big volume too also @ 12:59
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Short Feb/Long Apr Live Cattle @ 0.375.
Long Mar/ Short Jul 18 Sugar @ -0.04. Again , couldn't get all my contracts before it started rallying.
 
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