Will the Fed pause on Tuesday?

What will the Fed announce on Tuesday?

  • The Fed will finally pause- I'm sure of it!

    Votes: 17 8.9%

  • I think the Fed will pause.

    Votes: 50 26.2%

  • I think the Fed will hike rates another quarter point.

    Votes: 67 35.1%

  • Quarter point rate hike coming on Tuesday- I'm sure of it!

    Votes: 35 18.3%

  • I have no clue what will happen.

    Votes: 22 11.5%
  • Total voters
    191
  • Poll closed .
Quote from dac8555:

hell, if we are going to predict...ill jump on board.

1. pause
2. the pause is already priced in
3. drop at announcement
4. I can breath again...i bought a few puts. :)

i think any rally at a pause is unsustainable...after all...it esentially means that the economy is slowing, which is NOT good news.
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i thing i will buy myself a beer for doing my homework on this one!:cool:
 
We got the pause. Now jam em up on CSCO earnings momo. World wide rally! Asians go beserk tonight! Sourpusses selling the big cap Dows today get all giddy tomorrow and add another 200.

How's that. :D
 
Ok the markets were overbought when the fed paused. The fed is obviously expecting a slowdown in the economy. It seems it's time to short the market...Right?
 
Poll results:

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Quote from BrandNewTrader:


Does anyone else have an idea for a play on this event (or similar) with same/better leverage? I'd love to hear it...
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Buying back month vegas require paying a premium on duration vol. Add to that the fact that you're paying-up into a fed meeting. I can't imagine it feels good right now. Sure, we can hit your strikes, but it's a 6-sigma proposition.
 
Quote from riskarb:

Buying back month vegas require paying a premium on duration vol. Add to that the fact that you're paying-up into a fed meeting. I can't imagine it feels good right now. Sure, we can hit your strikes, but it's a 6-sigma proposition.
More...

Do you think your target audience understands what you're saying? This would be like me answering your posts in Hebrew or Arabic.
 
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