Funny how no one believed in a Trump win in the media and downplayed every one of his ideas and just yesterday he wins and now everyone is calling for this great big economic shift to the upside....I'm laughing at nearly every article I'm reading how all of the sudden Trump was what the country needed...its all a farce ...the media hasn't a clue what's going on and is just completely spinning this election around and around.....
Where the F is the market going now?
- Thread starter achilles28
- Start date
The market rallied big because Trump said he was going to greatly reduce regulations on (small) businesses and cut the corporate rate to 15%. There may be a lot of infrastructure projects but that will just add massive amounts of debt. There better be major growth to provide new tax revenue to pay for all this. The big players that move the market on the margin/short term just wants volatility to constantly extract profits. Don't think, just trade the swings.
Spot On!
Largest chunk of US exports is BA, it will interesting if tariffed nations start buying Airbuses...No doubt EU is smiling and hoping especially given that Airbus production is a collective effort of more than a few Western European nations....
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Where will the market be in 5 , 15 years ?
Using a well designed, empirically based investment process based on factors from the the capital asset pricing model (CAPM ) applied to a diversification of stock universes that have produced excess returns consistently over long samples, 5 and 15 year forward total returns periods resulted in Buffet matching returns averaging 154% vs. 71% for S&P500 ( 5 year periods ) and 1968% % vs. 403% ( 15 year periods ). This over many different variants of House and Senate, administrations, fiscal / structural changes, stock market valuations, geopolitical events, etc.
The DIY design entails the purchase of a 3 blend universe of small cap value, emerging small cap, and large value on Nov 1 and then switched for utilities sector ( or bonds / cash ( when risk algorithm signals "high risk" year in February )) on May 1 of the next year and switch back to 3 blend on Nov 1.
http://tinyurl.com/jgocjb6
The futility of worrying about what the future holds for investments under X political climate / elected official is shown over subsequent 5 and 25 year total return periods over the last 14 election years http://tinyurl.com/nvwta9l
These asset class exposures all available through exchange traded funds
- Don't quit your day job
- Don't use leverage
- Open a Roth IRA
- Sometimes money is made by sitting in cash
- Don't be a hostage to the markets
- let the markets, profitability of world economies work for you
Using a well designed, empirically based investment process based on factors from the the capital asset pricing model (CAPM ) applied to a diversification of stock universes that have produced excess returns consistently over long samples, 5 and 15 year forward total returns periods resulted in Buffet matching returns averaging 154% vs. 71% for S&P500 ( 5 year periods ) and 1968% % vs. 403% ( 15 year periods ). This over many different variants of House and Senate, administrations, fiscal / structural changes, stock market valuations, geopolitical events, etc.
The DIY design entails the purchase of a 3 blend universe of small cap value, emerging small cap, and large value on Nov 1 and then switched for utilities sector ( or bonds / cash ( when risk algorithm signals "high risk" year in February )) on May 1 of the next year and switch back to 3 blend on Nov 1.
http://tinyurl.com/jgocjb6
The futility of worrying about what the future holds for investments under X political climate / elected official is shown over subsequent 5 and 25 year total return periods over the last 14 election years http://tinyurl.com/nvwta9l
These asset class exposures all available through exchange traded funds
- Don't quit your day job
- Don't use leverage
- Open a Roth IRA
- Sometimes money is made by sitting in cash
- Don't be a hostage to the markets
- let the markets, profitability of world economies work for you
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The moment you pay for something with a credit card, you are now in debt. There is simply no way around this fact. You paid for something with someone else's money. Trump may have more of it than the single CC transaction. Some others may have many CC purchases. Some of those may have revolving debt balances, upon which they are paying interest. Gee...Sound familiar, all you CC users out there?
Did you get a mortgage on your house? You have a debt to repay. Did you take a loan to go to college? You have a debt to repay. Buy a new car and take a loan on that? You have debt to repay for the car. We're all in debt, every single one of us, unless we can pay cash for everything we purchase, or unless we have never asked to borrow money.
The United States Government itself will always and eternally be in debt, since it must borrow money from the Federal Reserve to pay for a lot of it's shit, and the Fed charges interest on each dollar.
We're all in debt, but that is how our economy has been going these past few decades (like 8 or 9 decades), and how it will continue. Fractional-reserve system for the win!
Did you get a mortgage on your house? You have a debt to repay. Did you take a loan to go to college? You have a debt to repay. Buy a new car and take a loan on that? You have debt to repay for the car. We're all in debt, every single one of us, unless we can pay cash for everything we purchase, or unless we have never asked to borrow money.
The United States Government itself will always and eternally be in debt, since it must borrow money from the Federal Reserve to pay for a lot of it's shit, and the Fed charges interest on each dollar.
We're all in debt, but that is how our economy has been going these past few decades (like 8 or 9 decades), and how it will continue. Fractional-reserve system for the win!
The market moves and the narrative shifts..It's been that way for...ever. Imagine the articles being penned at around 10-11 p.m. on election night. Dow was down 900 or so...
Exactly. Reading financial news = backward looking.
What's ur analysis ?
I think consensus is wait and see. Market responded to what trump said during acceptance speech. means investors are uncertain. Look at the range. If we're all waiting to see this thing can take quick dive. My 2 cents. Long Jan vix calls here
