Where the F is the market going now?

There is no way Trump could actually win, no way at all, just like Bush did, he cheated, he rigged the computerised ballots just like Bush did.

It's going to be a rough 4 years although I suspect he'll take a bullet or 4 before he even gets in.
 
Turveyd said:
There is no way Trump could actually win, no way at all, just like Bush did, he cheated, he rigged the computerised ballots just like Bush did.

It's going to be a rough 4 years although I suspect he'll take a bullet or 4 before he even gets in.
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I hope not! That would drive America further into the arms of suffocatingly conservative.....
 
Based on liquidity and economic cycles, the increase in money supply from previous crashes and attempts to avoid deflation, looks like we will be entering a hyperinflationary period. At the same time, the FED has to be careful in attempting to raise interest rates preemptively for political reasons. The FED has some autonomy in its policy making. But if policies aren't inline with upcoming economic policies from POTUS. The FED may be audited and face political backlash.

Looks like we will see bonds getting decimated in anticipation of the spending/hyperinflationary period that may be arriving soon. In order to foster equity appreciation and the wealth effect, FED FUNDS may be kept at low levels, and slope of yield curve will increase tremendously.

- short long end of the curve

bonds.png

best to wait for retrace before attempting to short.

- US dollar will face continued appreciation unless intervention takes place.

US dollar.png

intervention may be needed, and currency wars breakout to foster US corporate competiveness.

- US equities will rally..

sp500.png

If a hyperinflationary period is upon us, Gold may rally, especially if USD is kept suddued. But as USD rallies, Gold faces downdrafts.

gold.png


Some metrics of the anticipated economic spending.

Lumber

lumber.png

Copper

copper.png
 
achilles28 said:
Huge range day. Biggest in a year. Strongly bullish, but looking hugely emotional.
... I'm waiting for a new all-time high, then a huge 2B correction to the downside, with major force.
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What is your time frame? What charts are you looking at: dailies, weeklies, monthlies? Maybe put up a chart ...
 
If we are going to have another GW Bush-like administration (and it appears we are) that should be good for the US equity markets until the next bubble blows up. Making the rich richer usually benefits the market. I'm not sure where the next bubble is, aside from bonds and Chinese real estate.

Trump's tax proposals, as they stand, are not especially beneficial to the lower and middle classes (depending on what the standard deduction turns out to be). I imagine there will be some changes to them.
 
I'm still holding. Losing faith tho.... Trumps dirty laundry comes out after inauguration....no surprises until after.... Lets see how this week plays out. 2B or not.
 
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