Quote from steoli:
I think you're right, OIL is on resistance and there are a series of indicators that are pointing for a stop in the price movement.
But the question is...
Why trade the BEAR CALL on 39/40... You're risking a lot for 10 cents?
I've been doing these kinds of trades for years, and if i wanted the 10 cents, i would go naked on the 40 Strike, but probably in September options that are trading @ 0.44. Considering that USO has to break resistance levels and stop for a while to free the price from overbought levels and then rise 8.5% to reach the strike, we should get a very juicy premium.
Nevertheless, if the reason to make the BEAR CALL have to do with margin issues, then i would go for the AUG 38/39.
Steoli
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Feel that's a buy? Then sell...
http://tradingthecow.blogspot.com
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thanks for the reply, some interesting thoughts. i see what you mean about going nkd on the 40 strike. i have been trading spy bps and wanted to start looking at some possible bear call srpds. i thought the risk was not too bad, a dime out of a dollar strike spread. you think that is no buena? i have been doing about 6-8 cents out of a dollar with most of my spy trades.
on the recent intc trade i did 12 cents and had to buy back at 18 cents.
i am also looking at selling cash secured puts vs the vertical credits. i think it is easier to recover from a bad trade by either rolling the put or taking assignment and going to a covered call mode.
some of my verticals i bought back at a loss, when if it had been a cash secured put i could have held on and come out ok. but with the vertical and the possible bigger loss i was "scared" out of the trade and didnt have the strikes available to get a good roll.
i checked out your blog, looks interesting. i saw where you traded short puts on tbt, so you are thinking rates will rise?
i am thinking rates will fall.