The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

and some polls that had clinton up big have sigificantly tightened or put trump up.
we may have seen a bit of pre debate baloney. Because they can then skew for few weeks after the debate.

We have seen this polling trick before.



General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Bloomberg Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 8, Stein 4 Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Bloomberg Clinton 46, Trump 46 Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Quinnipiac Clinton 44, Trump 43, Johnson 8, Stein 2 Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Quinnipiac Clinton 47, Trump 46 Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 42, Trump 46 Trump +4

Colorado: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein CNN/ORC Clinton 41, Trump 42, Johnson 13, Stein 3 Trump +1
 
Its all about respecting others as long as they are willing to lie for the agenda but a black guy or women or matt lauer better toe the line or else the misogyny, minority hate or just plain old hate comes out.

futurecurrents said:
Two skanky bimbos whoring themselves out.
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jem said:
Trump wins according to Nate Silver.


If the election were held today, Trump leads with a 54.9 percent chance of winning the election, according to the site. The win projection stems from Trump winning the key battleground states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Nevada. The same projection shows Clinton winning Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Virginia.

Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/26/silver-trump-would-win-if-election-were-held-today/#ixzz4LOHuyjwJ
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Opps, did you forget we don't elect the president by popular vote? There is this thing called the electoral 'college'.:sneaky:
 
sorry, I forgot to write trigger warning for leftist worldviews.

luckily I suspect your failure read the next sentence was caused by your powerful filter that "protects" lefties from information which conflict with a leftist view of the world...


Contrary to your patronizing lecture... This is one of Nates models which project the winner based on the electoral college.
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piezoe said:
Opps, did you forget we don't elect the president by popular vote? There is this thing called the electoral 'college'.:sneaky:
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I now realize that piezoe was a content supplier and a very good professional writer with some excellent rhetorical tricks.

You could learn from him, the way we could learn from jack hershey. Jack was one of the best sell the sizzle not the steak salesmen. In the last few weeks piezoe has been on vacation, off his meds or he has been replaced by someone who does not possess the same skills.
 
Hillary +4

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/25/clinton-maintains-national-edge-ahead-debate/

"Clinton now has the support of 44% of registered voters in the four-way contest, Trump the votes of 41% (when those supporting another candidate are asked to choose among the both major party candidates, the overall results become 48% Clinton and 44% Trump)"






Hillary +4

http://observer.com/2016/09/monmouth-poll-clinton-up-by-4-over-trump-heading-into-prez-debate/

Monmouth Poll: Clinton Up by 4 Over Trump Heading Into Presidential Debate
By Max Pizarro • 09/26/16 1:09pm

Heading into tonight’s debate, Democrat Hillary Clinton has a four point lead over Republican Donald Trump among voters likely to cast ballots in November, according to a Monmouth University Poll. While this is down from a seven point lead last month, Clinton continues to have an advantage on the question of presidential temperament. The poll also finds that 3-in-4 voters plan to watch tonight’s debate, but very few actually expect to learn anything that will impact their choice of candidate. A majority also feel that third party candidates should have been included in the debate and that debate moderators should fact check the candidates.





Hillary ahead in 6 of the last 9 RCP polls,Trump ahead in 1 of the last 9.

image.jpg
 
jem said:
Trump wins according to Nate Silver.


If the election were held today, Trump leads with a 54.9 percent chance of winning the election, according to the site. The win projection stems from Trump winning the key battleground states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Nevada. The same projection shows Clinton winning Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Virginia.

Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/26/silver-trump-would-win-if-election-were-held-today/#ixzz4LOHuyjwJ
More...



Currently Hillary is winning in all 3 of Silvers forecast.On a side note Silver might be dropped from the TS algo.Not because he has it close or 1 of his models have Trump winning but because he now has 3 models as well as constantly giving his personal opinion.4 different forecast from 1 person is too many.


Hillary is also ahead in the betting markets,Princeton Election Consortium and both RCP maps.
 
jem said:
and some polls that had clinton up big have sigificantly tightened or put trump up.
we may have seen a bit of pre debate baloney. Because they can then skew for few weeks after the debate.
More...


Its a new week jem.Who does the jem algo have ahead and who are the 2016 jem honest polls?

TS algo still has Hillary ahead.
 
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