The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Hillary + 4


image.jpg







Hillary + 6


Reuters/Ipsos

image.jpg





Hilary +4

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/morning-consult-25787


Poll Update
2016 General Election - Clinton 45%, Trump 41% (Morning Consult 9/26-9/27)

Population 1,421 Registered Voters
Margin of Error ±3.0 percentage points
Polling Method Internet
Source Morning Consult
This poll asked respondents 12 questions tracked by HuffPost Pollster. Read our FAQ.
If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Asked of 1253 Likely Voters
Hillary Clinton 45%
Donald Trump 41%
Don't Know/No Opinion 14%




Hillary ahead in 8 out of 10 of the most recent RCP polls.Trump ahead in 1 out of the last 10.



image.jpg
 
Last edited:
fhl said:
Trump leading bellwether Ohio. So, of course, the NYTimes says Ohio is no longer a bellwether.

Jonathan Martin / New York Times:
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map — ATHENS, Ohio — After decades as one of America's most reliable political bellwethers, an inevitable presidential battleground that closely mirrored the mood and makeup of the country, Ohio is suddenly fading in importance this year.
More...


Trump is in fact currently leading Ohio,but Hillary doesn't need it.
 
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...ates-post-debate_us_57ee4d61e4b024a52d2e57a6?

Clinton Sees Post-Debate Bounce In State Polls
Her strong debate performance may be paying off.
09/30/2016 08:24 am ET



Janie Velencia Associate Polling Editor, The Huffington Post
57ee4db8170000e00aac865a.jpeg

The Washington Post via Getty Images
In the wake of the first presidential debate, polls show Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump.


Voters may have taken note of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s strong debate performance on Monday.

She is ahead of rival Donald Trump in four key swing states ― Michigan, New Hampshire, Florida and Nevada ― according to polls conducted after the debate.

Clinton has taken a 7-point lead against Trump in Michigan, with 42 percent of the vote to his 35 percent, according to a Detroit News/WDIV poll. In a two-way match-up that excludes third-party candidates, Clinton still maintains her 7-point advantage.

She’s ahead by the same margin in New Hampshire, taking 42 percent of the vote to Trump’s 35 percent, according to a WBUR poll.

In Florida, Clinton leads Trump by 4 points, 46 percent to 42 percent, according to a Mason-Dixon poll.

And in Nevada, a Suffolk University poll finds Clinton with a 6-point advantage over Trump, 44 to 38 percent. Clinton has opened up her lead in the swing state by 4 points since a mid-August Suffolk poll.

National polls released earlier in the week also signal good news for Clinton. The first set of post-debate polls found Clinton holding a 3- to 5-point advantage over Trump.

According to the HuffPost Pollster average, which aggregates publicly available polls, Clinton is ahead of Trump in three out of the four states: by 4 points in Michigan, 5 points in New Hampshire and 2 points in Florida. In Nevada, the candidates are tied at 42 percent.

The HuffPost Pollster national chart has the race at 48 percent to 43 percent, with Clinton in the lead.

However, it’s still too early to say if Clinton’s post-debate bounce will last. A clearer picture should emerge as more polls are released in the coming days.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top