Dealers are holding net longs in us risk going into Asia.
You are talking more like professional spread better, not a trader. It's understandable - it's tax free in UK

Dealers are holding net longs in us risk going into Asia.

Dealers are holding net longs in us risk going into Asia.
If you are unsure about who the participants are in a market I recommend this book.
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Dealers are holding net longs in us risk going into Asia.
Just read a draft copy of the book (on the web) u recommended. By dealers, you just mean traders. TBH, you cannot know what they are holding. I don't think it even matters.

Totally right.Confidence is not an edge.
Totally right.
During my career, I saw many confident kamikazes, most are dead.
But if you get a real edge, you are confident for good reasons.
Btw, probabilities are low that we see SP @ 1955 for the coming days.
We are in a BEAR market, not a bull market, and bear market rally are usually weak.
Classic dead cat bounce = new lows coming, not new highs lol.
CM
Look at a classic bollinger graph of E50. (I got other graphs that tell the same story).From what I can see the daily swing isn't over yet. Selling rallies is the way, question is this the time to go short? IMHO not yet.