The Dunning-Kruger effect

correct... one concept was fact confirmed by many other sources and data... one concept was opinion... see if you can use your skills to discern which was which and thereby separate yourself from agw nutter leftist drones.


Quote from Ricter:

That's the guy who also said this pause has to last at least 30 to 40 years more to mean the long-term warming trend is over.
 
irony... you may wish to review the definition... and see if it applies.

with respect to the design issue... you may wish to learn about the fine tuning of our universe..
This might be a good place to start. Susskind is an atheist who is credited as one of the founders of string theory.

he and 95 to 99% of the other top scientist in the field will tell our universe appears incredibly designed. (watch the video and see why many then employ the multiverse hypothesis to explain the fine tunig.

But understand in addition to the incredible fine tuning of the cosmological constant... CERN just confirmed the higgs boson which was predicted using the standard model of the universe which used about 20 constants tuned to 32 decimal places or more. (that too is amazing fine tuning) if you do not wish to understand that is the product of design and you do not wish to have faith in almost infinite other universes you better have some new scientific discoveries.






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Quote from HezBallah:

I thought Dunning-Kruger effect was more related to the overconfidence in ones knowledge of abilities in early stages of learning vs the skepticism of the more knowledgeable due to their understanding of the subject's complexity. The assumption seems to be that since most tasks are complex (perhaps infinitely so), knowledge just brings up more questions than answers which begets a kind of skepticism.

The intelligent design and age of the Earth arguments seem to be less about overconfidence than just sheer lack of information altogether. It seems like people who have strong beliefs in either subject have done 0 research altogether. Your "pissed off" response (rightfully so) seems to be more in response to their rejection of evidence than their overconfidence.
 
Quote from jem:

correct... one concept was fact confirmed by many other sources and data... .
Only it's not. The rate of increase has slowed, not increase itself. And then there is the accelerating rate of warming of the oceans.
 
Quote from Ricter:

Only it's not. The rate of increase has slowed, not increase itself. And then there is the accelerating rate of warming of the oceans.
Wrong. Air temps lead ocean temps. Warming has stopped and temps are beginning to drop.
 
Quote from pspr:

Wrong. Air temps lead ocean temps. Warming has stopped and temps are beginning to drop.

Oh such a shallow understanding you have. If understanding is even the right word.

Yes air temps lead ocean warming...... except when they don't.


Total_Heat_Content_2011_med.jpg
 
we are not talking about democrat budget proposals we are talking about temperatures. where is the data supporting your un true statement. you are talking about temperatures the last 16 or 17 years correct?

Because we have pointed you to the data there has been no statistically discernable increase. that is not a slow down in trend... that is an absolute stop.


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regarding fc crap... yeah now that the co2 forcing temps models have failed he brings up ocean heat.

when those fail he soon be telling us that the tilt of the earth is being changed by co2. whatever it takes to be a brainless leftist drone serving his masters who just wish to transfer our money to their cronies.




Quote from Ricter:

Only it's not. The rate of increase has slowed, not increase itself. And then there is the accelerating rate of warming of the oceans.
 
Quote from jem:

whatever it takes to be a brainless leftist drone serving his masters who just wish to transfer our money to their cronies.

Thanks for reminding us yet again how you look at science. LOL
 
Quote from futurecurrents:

Oh such a shallow understanding you have. If understanding is even the right word.

Yes air temps lead ocean warming...... except when they don't.
Another stupid comment from our resident AGW idiot.

You don't even need to look at your AGW Alarmist Australian's website to realize air temps ALWAYS lead water temps.

Just look at fall and spring. Does the air warm first in the spring before lake ice melts? Of course it does. Water is just a moderator of temperatures. On the way up it lags and on the way down it lags.

You are just not a very smart or a logical person futurecunt. You have zilch for common sense. You should stop posting here on this topic.

Of course, you would have to give up your shill posting income.
 
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