Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Futures Trading Journal

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Quote from bundlemaker:

I'm not (nor consciously ever did) asking for a way to avoid doing the work. I have gone back to the basics and now am meticulously determining what makes sense to me and what seems incomplete or illogical. Then I bring those questions here. Earlier in the thread I was able to answer more than I asked. Now, I'm in a place where I need to ask more than I can answer. I'm sorry if that interferes with any agenda here, I honestly thought this forum was open to people of all levels of skill. [/B]

Bob, I rather get the impression that you are trying to intellectualize all this. Why not keep it simple? After all you are the author of that brilliant video, you simplified the laborious task of drawing channels for us. I can do them in my sleep now. Post a chart when asking questions, highlighting the areas of difficulty.
From where I stand, sometimes you come across almost demanding, just be humble when asking. We have some lovely people here, let's keep peace and move on. :D
 
It's a matter of how aggressive you are ... You're correct: that was a sym BO.

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1625830>
Quote from Avi 8:

Nice, and a hint to what may come? How about the 'formation' starting with the 15:00 bar? See the 15:10 bar BO of it?
 

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Quote from Spydertrader:

I have grown rather weary of these sorts of comments from you. Grow up, or drop the class. You've been treated in the exact same manner in which you have posted. I expect one of three responses from you...

1. You Grow Up.

2. You do not Grow Up, but You do drop the class.

3. You create a 500 word response outlining how you "Only want to learn" and how horrible a teacher I have been.

The choice remains yours.

- Spydertrader

I don't know what you want from me. Take a look at my first post today. If there was something inappropriate in that post, please tell me what it was. I didn't drag this conversation into the mud. I asked straightforward questions, worded as specifically and briefly as possible in order to convey the message. If that is not adquate, then please describe by what standard you wish questions to be posted.

Funny how you now are poking fun at the length of my posts, when Jack's posts are orders of magnitude longer. It's sort of like telling a salesperson to go do their job and do it right, but limit how much you talk to the customer.

And, once again I notice that you chose to completely ignore the questions asked. Do you really believe I'm the only one who doesn't know the correct answers?
 
For me, your example really doesn't provide enough context for a meaningful conclusion.

In your situation, from the above answer I'd conclude that I look at the market, JH method, and those bars, too narrowly. So I'd pull back, and try to look with new eyes.
Quote from bundlemaker:

... In the mean time, please review the 3 bar by bar sequences in this graphic.
 
Quote from callmate:

Bob, I rather get the impression that you are trying to intellectualize all this. Why not keep it simple? After all you are the author of that brilliant video, you simplified the laborious task of drawing channels for us. I can do them in my sleep now. Post a chart when asking questions, highlighting the areas of difficulty.
From where I stand, sometimes you come across almost demanding, just be humble when asking. We have some lovely people here, let's keep peace and move on. :D

I can understand why you think that. To some extent I am. On the other hand, if I didn't really, really, really, understand the channels from the ground up, I coulnn't have created the video.

I'm now trying to achieve the same level of understanding with the PV relationship. Unfortunately, the way it has been laid out is incomplete and leaves open many questions.
 
Ok, first one in a while, been concentrating on stocks/needed a break from this to clear my mind.

One thing I noticed right away after the transfer to stocks is that i can "read" the stock I'm looking at in much the same manner that we aim to "read" the ES very easily. Maybe I just need more time to get acclimated to the 5 minute pace or something. But I definitely noticed that since I was somewhat distracted in stocks and not so focused here, that annotating/ making the change, continuation decisions to be much less stressful.

:) , BIG :)
 

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Quote from cnms2:


sometimes the teacher's method is not suited for that pupil, and this is an additional hurdle for the pupil. But in the end, if a pupil wants to learn, he has to find the way to make the journey with what he's given. This is also the spirit that allows some pupils to go beyond their teachers' expertise.

Sounds like me 25 yrs ago in my Organic Chemistry class.

:( :(
 
Quote from cnms2:

For me, your example really doesn't provide enough context for a meaningful conclusion.

In your situation, from the above answer I'd conclude that I look at the market, JH method, and those bars, too narrowly. So I'd pull back, and try to look with new eyes.

Thank you for your thoughts. Let me be sure I understand, you're suggesting that one sort of zooms out, to see the bigger picture. RIght?

Therein lies the crook for me. I will make this probably too short, let me know and I will expound. Defining change/continuation is based on trends. Is the volume trending up or down. Is price trending up or down? But, a trend is a human construct, it's a definition. A trend is invented only once we superimpose a gridwork of time over price and volume. That means that change/continuation is defined between two points. If the answer to my dillema is to zoom out, it becomes a circular thing. Am I making any sense?

My little posted graphic is just two bars, two snapshots of lumps of time, if you will. But, those two bars could BE the big, zoomed out picture already. No matter what fractal you're on, you are still comparing two points in the past. The two points as represented by my 2bar formations could just as easily have been the ends of a traverse, for example.
 
Quote from bundlemaker:

1) Does increasing volume on inside of lateral (bar to bar at close of bar) mean anything other than buyers and sellers in a battle which resulted in a draw? Can anything resembling change be gleaned from such a bar? My best guess is that this is continuation.

2)If lateral formation breaks out on increasing volume (over prior bar) in a direction which is non-dominant, does that mean somewhere in the lateral was the FTT of the forest? In other words, at a fairly coarse level, this inc prv b/o from the lateral represents a change signal if one missed the FTT?

Concrete example:

Let’s say I’m trading ‘ftt to ftt’ forest level. I’m currently long in an up channel forest.
I’m looking for ftt (already had a flaw and/or a VE) and what I now observe and annotate is a lateral formation. If price b/o’s from the lateral formation on increasing volume over prior bar to the DOWN SIDE, is this a signal for change? Ie if I were looking for an FTT, missed it somehow (or maybe occurred within the lateral) and saw this just described b/o, is this the place to reverse? Or enter is I hadn’t been long and looking for a forest level entry?

3) It seems like during a lateral, the usual decreasing volume, should not play a part in what the dominant Gaussian looks like. IOW- when drawing in a dominant Gaussian which is a forest level traverse, the decreasing lateral volume is ignored when a lateral formation exists as part of the dominant traverse. Do I have this correct?

my.02, FWIW-

1- at MY level, I'd see no change, and so, yes, continuation

2- sounds correct. one of those bars had to be an FTT. then inc volume signals the new dom direction

example- again, sounds to me like you are correct - somewhere in the lateral is an FTT, we didn't see it... so what? follow the direction of the dom volume, either bt reversing to short or getting short.

3- In my mind, I draw either a penant or flag during these bars. (too much c*** on the chart otherwise) again, since at my level, I'm unsure which way to read it, i just wait until inc volume shows me the way, then take action as needed

On an overall note, I try not to worry if I got it right on the previous bar or not. Rather, when I recognize that i was wrong or confused, I fix it and don't give it another thought. Hard to set aside one's ego to do that, but I think that's what it takes. Never sit there on the wrong side cuz you want to be "right".
 
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