This has been pretty well discussed so I will keep it short, but Putin is getting very close to forcing his buddy Lukashenka into crossing into Ukraine. The plan appears to be that Putin will send Russian troops directly in to Ukraine with the goal of encircling the south of Kiev- and then form a pincer tactic by having Russian/Belarus troops come down to the north of Kiev.
Yet, the word from inside Belarus continues to be that there will be mass desertions.
Vlad, what are you doing, lad? What are you doing?
Amid Worries Over Russian Forces In Belarus, Former Security Officer Says Belarusian Conscripts Won’t Fight
“In general, the Belarusian Army partially supports Russia, but the majority [of soldiers], of course, do not,” he said. “But no one wants to fight. They hope it doesn’t come to that. The Belarusian Army has never been involved in any military actions since gaining independence” from the Soviet Union in 1991.
He said that if Belarussian commanders were to call a general mobilization, the vast majority of conscripts would look to avoid fighting.
“We talked with officers, and they say that if hostilities begin, then 90 percent of conscripts will think about how to desert,” Azarov said. “They won’t take part in hostilities. At least they will try not to take part.”
https://www.eurasiareview.com/30012...fficer-says-belarusian-conscripts-wont-fight/