If you don’t like the idea of
walking down the street surrounded by armed civilians who could pull a concealed firearm out from under their coat at any moment, that makes you “paranoid,” according to a commentary posted by the National Rifle Association on Wednesday. The NRA video features a monologue by a man named Billy Johnson, who, after touting the NRA’s
familiar line that people need to carry firearms in order to protect themselves from a “real threat to their safety or security.” He then informs the viewer who the real tin foil hat wearers are:
What does it say about you that you are afraid of people who are legally exercising their right to bear arms? What does it say about you that your fear of an inanimate object, a gun, has led you to suspect everyone who chooses to own that object? And what does it say about you that you are afraid of the almost 10 million legal concealed carry gun owners in the U.S. who don’t commit crimes every year? Who’s the paranoid one now?
The implicit message in the NRA’s video is that there are two kinds of gun owners — those who “legally exercis[e] their right to bear arms” and the other kind — and that it is wrong to fear people who have thus far behaved legally. In NRA CEO Wayne LaPierre’s words, “
[t]he only thing that stops a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun,” and bad guys and good guys form a rigid dichotomy. So long as someone is a “good guy,” you don’t need to fear their firearm.
The reality, however, is far more nuanced. According to a study published by the journal
Pediatrics,
children were injured in accidents involving firearms 2,149 times in 2009 alone. Another report revealed that
nearly 3,800 people in the United States were killed in accidental shootings from 2005 to 2010. Again, these were
accidental shootings. They were not cases where a “bad guy with a gun” willfully shot someone.
The most common motive for actual homicide crimes, moreover, has nothing to do with a “bad guy” who plans out and then executes a plot to kill someone. Rather, according to Washington State Sociology Professor Jennifer Schwartz, “
[n]early half of all homicides, committed by men or women, were preceded by some sort of argument or fight, such as a conflict over money or property, anger over one partner cheating on another, severe punishment of a child or abuse of a partner, retaliation for an earlier dispute, or a drunken fight over an insult or other affront.” Schwartz also estimates that “40% of male offenders were drinking alcohol at the time,” and that about 1 in 3 women who commit homicide crimes were also drinking at the time of the offense.
What this means is that a good guy with a gun can unpredictably transform into a bad guy with a gun because they are drunk, angry or both. An argument that would ordinarily have only resulted in a screaming match or a fistfight becomes a fatal shooting because one of the participants is legally carrying a concealed firearm.
And even in those rare instances where a “good guy” stumbles upon an actual gunman who threatens the lives of innocents, the good guy with a gun could easily become as much of a threat to innocent bystanders as he is to the bad guy with a gun. A 2008 study by RAND Corporation regarding the New York Police Department’s firearms training program found that “
the average hit rate during gunfights was just 18 percent. When suspects did not return fire, police officers hit their targets 30 percent of the time.” Thus, even trained police officers are more likely to miss their target than to hit it. And each bullet that misses its target can endanger the lives of innocent bystanders.
All of these reasons, in other words, offer a pretty good explanation for why someone might be “paranoid” about people carrying concealed firearms.
IAN MILLHISER