Regarding National Polls...
Reuters showed their template for the poll for October 21...
They had biden plus 9
but they used
44 lean Democrats
38 lean Republican
10 percent independents
8 don't knows
1. That poll seems to have sampled far to few independents.
This is interesting... on page 15...
2. 44% of the people in their poll voted in the democrat primary
32% of the people voted in the Republican primary...
It seems to me the poll was slanted by 12 voters to Biden... yet biden only lead the poll by 9.
I hope we can see their template in the next few poll it will be interesting to see if this changes.
There all sorts of other slants you can see on page 15...
This is quite complicated...
They slanted the independents to democrats... 47 to 21 in the primary / caucus category
when form what I read... many republicans say they are independents...
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/hxop5lpnlj/econTabReport.pdf
I don't know but this looks like a very slanted poll to me.
Look at page 15 and tell me what you think..
This is a deep look than I have had experience with..
If you know polls please explain why such slants are justified.
This is the methodology of the yougov poll link you cited:
Always go to the last page first, just like with a prospectus.
.