Quote from Mr Super Trader:
The market thrives on catalysts so therefore it's not random. Due to variable change the market is chaotic but not chaotic enough not to be able to profit. The old saying to make a million dollars trading you lose 9 million and make 10 million.
As far as i am concerned the holy grail of trading is a slight edge repeated over and over again. To increase your profits you can move to a lower time frame for higher frequency trading for a faster turn around.
Quote from oldtime:
yes, it's funny after a while, the question becomes, "Is there such a thing as random?"
You would think the answer would be "Yes"
But when they actually tried to generate it, it became darn near impossible.
I don't really have all eternity to trade, so I have to make some choices. And for me, in the limited time I have left, I have to go with, "Nothing is random."
But if you can find it and prove it, that would sure solve a lot of my problems.
Quote from the1:
OT, agree. A computer cannot generate a perfect random series.
Yes the catalysts cause the market to thrive.Quote from StarDust9182:
Or could it be that catalysts cause market thriving.
Some traders believe this holy grail approach (superstition?) so I am sure you come to these beliefs sincerely. Perhaps some day you will abandon them and adopt much more helpful beliefs and your trading may improve immensely. Just my opinions.
I will state here that I have never lost 9 million dollars even totaling up all my thousands of trades together. Silence speaks volumes.
.Quote from oldtime:
back when John Henry was doing so well we didn't have these discussions
random vs chaos
you just bought something and it went up
no brains required
Quote from Mr Super Trader:
Sorry ash1972. Instead of just disagreeing i should have clarified the reasoning.
In reference to your post about bad risk management.
To lose 9 million and make 10 million has nothing to do with risk management and everything to do with win ratio combined with risk reward.
Your risk management can be fabulous but if you are not a profitable trader it means nothing. Well except of course you last longer to turn your trading around.
Risk management and edge are two different animals.
Risk management keeps you in the game through a draw down providing you truly have an edge.
Edge allows you to profit providing you use correct risk management.