ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from volente_00:
Countertrend for entries withing the longer term trend
Do you feel me ?
I do... I know I'm my own handicap. If I was in AA, knowing that I don't know squat might be considered progress, but... for now I'll focus on continued money mgmt, basic TA, and me to ward off bias.
 
Quote from rock34748:

I do... I know I'm my own handicap. If I was in AA, knowing that I don't know squat that might be considered progress, but... for now I'll focus on continued money mgmt and basic TA to ward off bias.

If you want to get better, you just need to continue trading and refine your own mistakes.
Registered in 08? You got 3 more at least.
Mininum of 5 years if you correct your own mistakes.
Maximum of forever if you don't.


-----------During 5 years you should see bear markets and bulll markets, you remember what happened if you trade each and everyday and it becomes reflex to act after awhile. reflex to trade.
I trade purely on chart reading and an instinct, when i put out a large order size,
its purely my experience talking to me... this is a low risk trade, load the boat.

when you don't have experience, the only person talking to you is saxon22 or bum on the street or your evil twin, you don't want to listen to them.
 
i know im crazy, but i just shorted 1145. stop is 1165. i am lookin for 1116 to take half off, and the other half i am lookin to ride down till 1044. i am giving myself 1-2 weeks to get down to that 1116 level.

i am goin to europe for 2 weeks. i have the stop and profit orders in place. good day
 
What a bunch of losers going all out among themselves between 49 and 51. That's 12 hours strong and still counting. I guess only a moron like myself stays up this late to see who wins. Go figure.
 
Quote from rock34748:

I do... I know I'm my own handicap. If I was in AA, knowing that I don't know squat might be considered progress, but... for now I'll focus on continued money mgmt, basic TA, and me to ward off bias.


It is difficult to do, especially since it is quite easy to understand.

Vol is quite right.

To get the best fills closest to your ps you need to enter against the herd so they are driving the price towards your ps, thereby reducing your risk.

Now you are ahead (front running) and as the herd swaps direction their momentum propels you to risk/reward ratios that you previously could not comprehend.

Remember, when we talk of the herd, we are referring to the mass of contracts that move price. We are not referring to a large mass of small retailers.

Frankly and in hindsight, I have never read a decent book on trading.
Agreed, the M. Douglas book stands out in a mediocre crowd and certain parts impressed me at the time several years ago, but not now.

The more I read from you guys on this thread, the more you are saying that this game is almost 100% psychological, and so you are on the right track imho.

If price never turned, but just keep on going up, we could all sit on the beach drinking margaritas whilst our long positions continued to get longer.

Sadly, that is not the case, since price reverses from time to time.

And so the one thing that always fascinates me and absorbs most of my attention is "when and where is price going to turn and by how much"

If you think that trading is purely a "random walk" then you are stuffed before you have even get started.

If you think that good money management, tight stops and letting profits run, is the sum total of the game; then you have skewed the odds significantly into your corner, but they can be pushed a great deal further if you begin to recognise the repeating patterns each and every day.

Then and only then do you develop the confidence to ramp up your trade size far beyond your current level of imagination.
The real money lies in trade size.

It is all about identifying weakness and exploiting it.
The weakness of the big boys lies in trying to turn a large number of contracts around a corner ... sure you can tell me that they break them into smaller parcels, but they still have a need to get the sum of the parts around the corner otherwise they wind up with counter trades ... it is simple physics really, the larger the mass the more it resists change.
 
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