Election 2024 Foreplay
- Thread starter TreeFrogTrader
- Start date
That poll is fine and dandy as a snapshot in time but presupposes that it will be a Trump versus Biden match with no significant third party impact (such as above 15-20%).
Also the first (but not the last) truly Rumsfeldian factor has arrived- ie something that was not even remotely contemplated or factored in six months ago. All of this "Genocide Joe" and antisemitism explosion is new and different and going to have a major impact.
MORE TO COME.
We will see what the state by state ballots look like. Third parties still have to get on the ballots. The Israel-Hamas conflict can certainly play in Michigan and Pennsylvania. The truth is all of this poll is pretty par for the course considering the current state with the exception of Nevada. The Nevada numbers are a bit outside of what I would expect with independents, all things considered. Nonetheless, this is a strong poll for Trump and will most likely increase his support for the Republican nomination.
The Wile E. Coyote political strategy, y’all.
History shows otherwise.Not only has the candidate leading on RCP a year prior to the election predicted the popular vote since 2008 no incumbent with a double digit negative net approval a year prior to re election has ever won re election.And thats the entire history of polling.
Genocide Joe is a whole -19 points upside down.Millions of progs,blacks and hispanics are done with the moderate democrat party.
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And get a crazy far Right Republican, who will further erode your democracy.
No,its not.Obama was not losing to Romney in Nov 2011 in aggregate polling nor did he have double digit negative net approval.
It was par the course for Trump in Nov 2019 and we see how that turned out.
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Voting moderate Dems has gotten us Roe V Wade and affirmative action overturned, no universal healthcare,The SC is 6-9 GOP,no police reform,voter suppression in many states,no free state college, taxes on the rich are lower than ever,immigration policy a disaster etc.
Democrat threats about what republicans will do no longer work on millions of us as voting for Democrats like Clinton,Obama and Biden its going to happen eventually anyway.
You're playing with fire.
If republicans win the popular vote,which they will,state by state ballots wont matter as its nearly impossible for the slave states candidate to win the popular vote and lose The EC.
When you weren't in love with Biden you acknowledged that.