DeSantis for the win

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So that's all you've got, gwb? A few articles, some snarky memes and nothing to refute all of the research I put into that?

That figures. I don't know why I expected actual content.
 
So that's all you've got, gwb? A few articles, some snarky memes and nothing to refute all of the research I put into that?

That figures. I don't know why I expected actual content.

Hold your horses.... just haven't had a opportunity yet to research and post a response.
 
Of interest in the bigger picture, North York General the biggest hospital in our area ( and a hot spot for SARS many years ago ) has no Covid patients at all now. What I'm saying is taking a patient, responsible approach to this virus may possibly allow you to open up in stages, avoid the worst of it, and once the treatments improve and spread is dissipated it's a major win for the area.

Again, I don't say this with absolute certainty, but the data the last month plus suggests the path we chose was a good one. Those who believe a sudden fast opening or Sweden's initial approach was ideal ( eg Jem ) may be in for a slow awakening that their ideas were flawed to some degree ( in Jem's case a lot ). More then half of Ontario's current infections were from poorly managed farms near Windsor. What will be interesting to see is in a low infection area, will the virus peter out eventually, and how will we mitigate the danger of still having high infection areas in the world. Will the commencement of busier office work and sports activities lead to a second wave and to what degree in each area ? Guess we'll see.
 
Ah, but you've had the opportunity to take a bunch of shots at DeSantis.

I have no idea about DeSantis, but Trump does bear a lot of direct responsibility for the chaos and severity of the virus experience in the US. Only the idiot in Brazil has been worse and he likes to model his ideas and behavior to match Trump. Trump continues to make claims that are outright lies, like suggesting increased testing is why you have such large infection rates. It might be a contributing factor, but not nearly the main factor.
 
Alright.

So first, lets get the worldmeters update out of the way. I'm starting with this site since these are the charts everyone typically sees in the media, and the data referenced within.

Florida cases and deaths as of today, reported on the worldmeters site. Remember, the Worldmeters site lists deaths on the day they were reported, not the day they occur. Additionally, deaths do not just contained confirmed cases of Covid that terminated, but probable cases.

From the Worldmeters site itself:

Following new CDC guidelines: "As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths
Case count continues to post record cases tested positive.

View attachment 234258

Then there are the deaths as reported. Remember, these aren't the deaths on the days the people actually died. Just when the reporting came through.

View attachment 234259

This graph by itself would give cause to be worried - any sane person would look at that and go "holy crap, we're finally seeing the spike." Except that, when you dig into it, we really aren't. Of the 119 deaths that were reported on July 9, actually three occurred in July. You read correctly. 3. I don't have that number yet for July 10 which shows 93 deaths reported on July 10. My numbers are as of yesterday, so I can only speak to those. But it is clear which way the trend goes.

Why the delay??

View attachment 234260

As this graph illustrates, there is a sometimes very lengthy process in getting data to the CDC for reporting purposes. Now, not all sites source from the CDC, so that doesn't explain the delay on sites like Worldmeters, the reporting methodology explains that (posting it on the day reported vs. the day it occurred).

Because I don't want to get into an argument on the Florida portal about the data being manipulated, lets look at gwb's home state of North Carolina (which also has a dashboard, and a really good one). First, this is the Worldmeter's site:

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On July 9th, 23 deaths were reported on the worldmeters site in North Carolina. But only 1 occurred on that day. How do I know this? Because the North Carolina dashboard shows it:

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Can't blame this on some crackpot DeSantis manipulation theory.

But it sure tells a different story, doesn't it? Looks like deaths are making a decline in NC, as case counts are rising. Just like Florida.

One more thing on case counts for North Carolina because the graphs are so stark and then we will get back to Florida. Here is the Worldmeter's case count for North Carolina.

View attachment 234264

Looks pretty bad, doesn't it. 7 day M/A is getting worse and, as our pal Suntrader likes to tell us, its all about the 7 day MA. In fact, yesterday I pointed this chart out to gwb and he agreed, it was getting worse in NC. Problem is, I was wrong. For the same reason on the deaths. Cases on the Worldmeters site show when the case was reported. Not when the specimen was collected. In fact, if I go to the NC portal and ask for the same data (by reported), I get a very similar picture.

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But lucky for us, NC has a cool little feature that lets us see case counts by when the specimen was actually collected!

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Would ya look at that!! NC doesn't look all that bad after all, does it? Especially when you consider NC Testing is still going strong:

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So if you were to believe the media articles, you'd want to slit your wrists. But the truth, as they say, shall set you free.

I'll continue in the next post as images have a limit per post.

Let's discuss North Carolina a bit...

Our governor has been emphasized in recent days that cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are rising. Our governor has stated this over and over again. We are in Phase 2 of our re-opening and he has rejected moving to Phase 3, and stated if trends continue we will need to rollback to Phase 1. In our current Phase 2, gyms and bars are closed, retailers are open with constraints, restaurants are open at 50% dine-in capacity, and gatherings over 10 people are prohibited.

Our state COVID data is openly shared with medical researchers and first responders. There has never, not once, been a complaint about the transparency of data on our state portal. North Carolina has continued to enhance and increase the provided data over time - driven my requests for improvements. Our state executive administration strived to accommodate all the improvements. As stated on the portal the display of deaths may be delayed ("Information collected during this period may not yet be reported"). However, unlike Florida, after 14 days all of our death data obviously aligns with third party sources.

Our governor has been outlining the data clearly, not hiding any data, and has scientific advisors at every press conference to support the facts. And the facts state the COVID situation is not looking good in our state. While our rise in deaths is not rapid over the past few days as seen in other states; the trend in cases and hospitalizations makes it clear what the future holds.

This well-respected transparency in North Carolina is very different than how the DeSantis administration handles things in Florida. At least we are not being told inane nonsense from our governor like Coronavirus Cases Are Spiking Because of a ‘Flatter Curve’.
 
More people died in New Jersey today even though they had 1/20 of the infections of Florida today.

The point is that all these people thinking the fatalities will stay low in these states that are just reaching epidemic levels do not understand what they are dealing with and that as time goes by the fatalities will increase.
 
I have no idea about DeSantis, but Trump does bear a lot of direct responsibility for the chaos and severity of the virus experience in the US. Only the idiot in Brazil has been worse and he likes to model his ideas and behavior to match Trump. Trump continues to make claims that are outright lies, like suggesting increased testing is why you have such large infection rates. It might be a contributing factor, but not nearly the main factor.

I think you know enough about me to know I don't defend Trump for much of anything.
 
Let's discuss North Carolina a bit...

Our governor has been emphasized in recent days that cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are rising. Our governor has stated this over and over again. We are in Phase 2 of our re-opening and he has rejected moving to Phase 3, and stated if trends continue we will need to rollback to Phase 1. In our current Phase 2, gyms and bars are closed, retailers are open with constraints, restaurants are open at 50% dine-in capacity, and gatherings over 10 people are prohibited.

Our state COVID data is openly shared with medical researchers and first responders. There has never, not once, been a complaint about the transparency of data on our state portal. North Carolina has continued to enhance and increase the provided data over time - driven my requests for improvements. Our state executive administration strived to accommodate all the improvements. As stated on the portal the display of deaths may be delayed ("Information collected during this period may not yet be reported"). However, unlike Florida, after 14 days all of our death data obviously aligns with third party sources.

Our governor has been outlining the data clearly, not hiding any data, and has scientific advisors at every press conference to support the facts. And the facts state the COVID situation is not looking good in our state. While our rise in deaths is not rapid over the past few days as seen in other states; the trend in cases and hospitalizations makes it clear what the future holds.

This well-respected transparency in North Carolina is very different than how the DeSantis administration handles things in Florida. At least we are not being told inane nonsense from our governor like Coronavirus Cases Are Spiking Because of a ‘Flatter Curve’.

Since you've had all day to look at this and all you've posted is your comments on the governor of NC, I'm going to make the assumption you accept my data as presented and that your Friday "Here are the death's finally" post about Florida is withdrawn. I know you rarely admit to being mistaken, but I think this is as good as I'm going to get with you.
 
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