Quote from Xspurt:
Good to hear. All systems rely on MM to make them survive but when max draw downs are exceeded the question will be do you hang in there? Neke is an example of a winning approach that is suffering so what should he do? There are no shortage of opinions on ET but it had great consecutive years profit.
You might have the winning system and time will tell. If it isn't, do you have the tools to know why and what to do? All mechanical systems that I have seen in almost 30 yrs have a flaw, but that doesn't mean no one can come up with one that works, it just makes it very unlikely.
Systems have a great appeal. You can learn them in very little time and they offer success on a plate and always with a unique twist that makes then better than all the ones that failed: that twist is always MM.
I used to be a pro gambler and I started out with a very successful system that I paid a pro gambler to teach me. Then I wanted to understand the game and that was when I discovered control came from knowing how the market flows. Trading is no different: it is a game of fakes and shark pools and runs but in time they change the game and that is when mechanical systems are shown to be curve fitted.
Btw a system like you quote will sell for tens of millions to the banks. Right now you can get IB's on ET who will get you accredited investors wanting to make 100 to 350% pa with a 3% draw down. There is one problem though, none of them will be interested and either their experience or yours is lacking something and the thread heading makes me think it might be you.
If you prove me wrong you will offer hope to millions of robot and system traders who paid a few bucks to get rich. Trading is a huge time consuming learning curve and what you are doing is part of the dues we must all pay so it is not intended as criticism. I was in those shoes at one time.
I have spent many years devising profitable systems .I devised an automated package of 44 different systems combined , the systems returns fell to a meagre 15 % in the last 3 years from 23 % over last 10 years. .The bucket shops with their requotes is where one could trade these automated systems , it is no good to trade with these bucket shops , so I stopped using them.
Based on my huge experience , I have devised a system which should and would work intraday .These systems run profits and cut losses.To trade the system , one has to be very quick to exit and calm enough to run profits , we achieved this by running two positions ,one for running profits and one for a small lock in.The system trades an average of 10 to 15 trades a day ,and relies on one or two trades to make the profit.The high number of trades ,the quick exits and re-entries ensure the fakes don't catch us out.I have seen enough fakes designed to shark feed trend traders.
We are as quick as the sharks and we are changing direction and going with the strength and market flow , above all we are following the sharks with quick exit strategy.
I devised the system based on my previous experience and knowledge of the markets.
I have seen the system make profit all week every day , where most other systems have failed.The more people follow the system , the more sharks get eaten , one hedge fund trader was more worried about the army of little guys slaughtering them.