Dalio - Bitcoin might get banned

One must only look at the tulip mania to see how fortunes can be made overnight and equally lost overnight.

I trust more in Dalio being" ignorant" than in the many people I know who bought bitcoins thinking they know everything.
Realizing that you are ignorant is better and safer than not realizing that you are ignorant, while thinking you are the expert.
Smart people know they don't know everything, stupid people always think they know everything.

The fact that BTC still gained 30% is irrelevant. In history many experts warned for bubbles while these bubbles were still growing. In 2017 some people warned for a huge correction long before the BTC reached his top end of 2017. But they were right, BTC dropped 80%. So history proved that a 30% gain can still end in a 80% crash.

Governments only have disadvantgaes with BTC, no advantages.
Some of these disadvantages:
  • it can interfere with their money policies
  • drugs and crime financial circuits are hidden
  • fiscal controls are more difficult
  • partial anonimity makes it more difficult to catch illegal transactions
  • ...
 
You are investing in cryptos to protect your wealth? Are you aware how fucked up that is?

Dalio also says that at the end of leveraging cycles, governments destroy the currency in order to keep things from falling apart. He is known for saying that cash is trash. So what's one to do, be afraid they will ban bitcoin and just sit on cash and let they take your wealth? He likes Asian shares, but using his logic, the Chinese Yuan will be banned, so that's out of the window. He is also afraid of a ban on gold (per his articles), so whats one to do, not own gold as well?
Dalio's opinion is informative but also irrevalent, you got to do what you got to do to proctect your wealth. Not be paranoid about some scenarios and let them inflate your savings away
 
By the same token probabilities suggest not to listen to you either. Hypocrite.

Who am I (a jabroni!) to call out Dalio but what's interesting is that when he was (generally) unknown his funds were exceptional re performance.

But as soon as he started to open his trap and court the media, his performance went to pot.

Probabilities therefore suggest, not to listen to him re Bitcoin.
 
Bitcoins roots are too deep and complex for the government to have any control over.

Governments can easily kill it anytime they want. They control the exchanges so all they would have to do is forbid the exchange of fiat and Bitcoin. They wouldn't even have to explicitly ban it. If you can't exchange fiat for it or buy products with it, institutions won't touch it and the value would simply collapse. Remember, it takes a lot of money to keep those energy hungry servers running.

Members in the government probably already use crypto, and that's part of the reason it will never be globally adopted is because it would expose the corruption already happening with fiat. But to ban it would also expose the members in the government using it. Something else to think about is they are making Tax money on it. It makes no sense to ban something that is helpful to everyone. It would be like banning food

Unless you mined the Bitcoin, government already knows about your Bitcoin purchases. The exchanges operating in the US have to report that to the IRS. And under Biden, you can be sure they will look for tax evasion. Also, members are the first to get out before any kind of ban would take place. Just like members of congress were able to dump their equity portfolios right before the latest pandemic. Funds would also see a ban coming before the retail crowd.
 
Governments can easily kill it anytime they want. They control the exchanges so all they would have to do is forbid the exchange of fiat and Bitcoin. They wouldn't even have to explicitly ban it. If you can't exchange fiat for it or buy products with it, institutions won't touch it and the value would simply collapse. Remember, it takes a lot of money to keep those energy hungry servers running.



Unless you mined the Bitcoin, government already knows about your Bitcoin purchases. The exchanges operating in the US have to report that to the IRS. And under Biden, you can be sure they will look for tax evasion. Also, members are the first to get out before any kind of ban would take place. Just like members of congress were able to dump their equity portfolios right before the latest pandemic. Funds would also see a ban coming before the retail crowd.

Yes then there would be more underground exchanging taking place and no taxes being paid on it. That's why they will never ban it
 
Yes then there would be more underground exchanging taking place and no taxes being paid on it. That's why they will never ban it

If it goes through an exchange, you'll pay taxes. Institutions will drop it (and sell all the crypto they can before the ban) and no merchant will be able to legally accept it for payment. So any claimed utility of bitcoin at that point is gone...oh, and someone will still have to pay the electric bill.
 
If it goes through an exchange, you'll pay taxes. Institutions will drop it (and sell all the crypto they can before the ban) and no merchant will be able to legally accept it for payment. So any claimed utility of bitcoin at that point is gone...oh, and someone will still have to pay the electric bill.

No, I meant from my previous post that people will find ways of trading without the use of an exchange. There is already a Peer to Peer Bitcoin trading platform through Tor Browser, not to mention decentralized exchanges. Not to mention VPNs. And don't worry, that electric bill will gladly get paid...
 
No, I meant from my previous post that people will find ways of trading without the use of an exchange. There is already a Peer to Peer Bitcoin trading platform through Tor Browser, not to mention decentralized exchanges. Not to mention VPNs. And don't worry, that electric bill will gladly get paid...

As I mentioned, I don't think they have to completely ban it in order for it to lose 99.9% of its current value. The point is if they ban exchanging crypto for fiat, demand for it will get killed. No institutions or big money will hold it.
 
O look, another thread where 98% of people have no idea what they are talking about.

BTC is not just a crypto it IS the cryptomarket - it aint going anywhere.

Not only is it impossible to ban BTC just based upon how the network operates (decentralized) all these Hedgies are starting to pump money into it and create ETFs for their investors to get involved through them.

Gov't doesnt go against wall st. Wall St. Runs the govt - its just that simple.
 
O look, another thread where 98% of people have no idea what they are talking about.

BTC is not just a crypto it IS the cryptomarket - it aint going anywhere.

Not only is it impossible to ban BTC just based upon how the network operates (decentralized) all these Hedgies are starting to pump money into it and create ETFs for their investors to get involved through them.

Gov't doesnt go against wall st. Wall St. Runs the govt - its just that simple.

Yup!

https://elitetrader.com/et/threads/bitcoins-information-insurgency.357104/

So what the institutions don’t understand is that the bitcoin community has already won. Bitcoiners have infiltrated their ranks. They are the trojan horse. Each bitcoiner is rising in the ranks. They’re gaining power and influence. The institution may not know it, but there are wolves in the hen house and the institutions let them in!

We have bitcoiners who have infiltrated the Senate. We have bitcoiners who have infiltrated Congress. We have bitcoiners everywhere.

Regardless of their role, they are participants in the information insurgency. For example, we have Senators and Congressmen who have laser eyes on their Twitter profile pictures. We have people reading the terminology “shitcoin” into the Congressional record.
 
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