Quote from bighog:
it takes very little brain power to look at bars within a channel and say...well this bar did not go higher.....GEE time to go short. or GEE, this is higher, time to go long.
We do not advocate that it takes any brains to trade PVT or SCT. Upper formkids can do it easily.
You are correct that annotating into the right side of a blank portion of a screen does give a person a price and volume context (channel) for seeing price movement and price come to the end of movement.
Since channels overlap, a person is capable of annotiatng this in a timely manner and, thus, have the timingconcept straight at all times.
Then at end of the day you add up all the wiggles and claim that when "always in" (stop and reverse) and discipline even the Pope could not follow you would make triple the range.
This sentence is a little flawed for a few reasons. It is correct for you but not correct for practitioners. Trades are automatically added on accounts. See the P and L thread postings. On logs they could be added up, I guess.
You correctly observe the crayola or advanced crayola results. Wiggles is a good substitute for zig zags, as well.
the way to parenthetically describe "all in" is hold and reverse rather than your stop and reverse. this is just a slip for you in regard to your orientation to hold periods where you emphasis "protection" rather than "continuing". "protection" is a fear orientation of conventional orthodoxy (See Lo et al) and "continuation" is a building on success or positive orientation from "being on the right side of the market". data seets are taken todetermine one of two things: continuation or change. These represent the binary possibilities of making money. when the market tells a person to "continue" he does. when the market says "change" it means that the side of the market to be on is changing. A person has to obey this.
In January we concentrate on the big chunks of money. That is trading the large moves of the market during the day. Like going from one side of the range to the other repeatedly. It is called going from FTT to FTT. FTT's are coarse limits of price movement.
This means a person is doing a routine of four parts over and over and most of the time he gets a conclusion to "continue". This is a routine for practitioners and for you it is a Papal level religious observation made from the outside. It is not remotely necessary to kneel down and get into some religious orientation to "get it". It is a geometric experience if anything. Think fifth or sixth grade and rulers and protractors and compasses.
When a person goes from FTT to FTT he gets used to seeing the ebb and flow of price as the market passes time between subway stations and not stations of the cross. he gets to feel the deja vu of the train ride day after day. It is not a once a week experience going around the hall or in the booth.
It is a succession of successful data set takings and subsequent observations that the conclusion reached was correct. the routine is the opposite of freakout land where "stops" are in and almost all the time price is heading to hit them after a bet has been placed. SCT is the opposite of the measured fear, anxiety and anger of trading the conventional orthodoxy.
The knowledge that must be understood about a method like that is simply that "you are stroking yourself."
the four part routine is a matter of two entities working in concert. It is as you say simply the trader and the market sharing responsibilities. The market is always there and operating (some say the market is always right; that means figuring out who is right is the game bing played; skip playing the game of who is right). So is the trader; he makes trades rarely during the day. Most of the time he is working. Doing the routine.
Monitor for a data set. Check. That is something that is understood.
BUT the trader has to have a display to use. Most people never get to see the markets. Just look at the screens that are posted in ET. Almost none of them have a display of what is going on.
Figure out how many traders CANNOT even get the forming bar to NOT be on the extreme right of their monitor.
Face it, if trading was that EASY, the game would have been over a long time ago.
It was over a long time ago for me. In 1957. BUT the conventional orthodoxy is so pervasive that it "simply" buries the herd, the financial industry and its workers. Gaming is not the way to make money. Pool extraction IS the way to make money. People have a set of beliefs and they lead to behavior and it all based upon the conventional orthodoxy of probability and gaming.
Making money is a different thing. For making money wiggles rule. There are three levels of effectivenss of making money. So far the coarse level is in the SCT. For PVT we have gotten coarse and medium in the picture.
The template uses three levels of channels.
coarse channels
medium is traverses (channels) of the coarse.
fine is the actions within (channels) of the traverses.
These are the levels of the wiggles. Each wiggle level contributes some profits to the total profits.
Crayola 201 lets a person show the color of each level of coarse medium and fine.
The segments of profit (wiggles) do add up. At some point they are equal to performance of method A, B, C, etc.... then at a given level they become comparable to the daily range and approaches D, E, F and so on......then the sum get to be a multiple of the daily range and is like approaches G, H J, K... For PVT it turns out that instruments like equities yield 2 1/2 % daily on the coarse level and run up to 15% or so on the highest levels. Fro SCT, a leveraged type trading in ES, the multiples we see are as stated. All of this is, as stated, by detractors, "impossible", from the measurement point of view of the conventional orthodoxy.
If a seasoned person is performing and sees it is work to do the conventiional orthodoxy and never gert past a certain performance level, then it must be true that EASY is not going to happen elsewhere.
Well there are different kinds of bicycles and some are EASY to ride in places that are "impossibile" for other kinds of bicycles. That is the way it is in almost all fields of endeavor. Wtih regard to investing, anyone can play anyway they want as long as they have the capital to play.
Jack has come up with nothing but a beautiful vision of the BEST POSSIBLE WORLD.
Crayolas usually work for getting the wiggles on the table. And yes the crayolas are nothing compared to the real McCoy. For me it ia always a breakthrough for a conversation to get to the point where what the market offers is being seen in one way or another. virgin is seeing it too as something that is a measure (the daily range) and he is still stuck in being able to see the wiggles crossing it over and over in segments as the dayunfolds. Some peopole caught the limiting case of 7X, even.
It is there and it is the ELEPHANT that is now in the room for a good many people.
We all know utopia is a pipedream. (and this all is nothing new, been around for decades).
Pipes are more popular than ever and meeting places are now centered on their group use. Utopia is still not on any flight schedules or maps. Both are there in one form or other and not new. I use Crayolas to create reality reality. I am not up to smileys yet but I may consider it if some more of the detractors come around. We are running much better ratios than in the past.
How can a person get past the pipedream stage of rejection?
We recommend work and drills. The forum has two volumes out now thanks to Eric, a UA senior, who has switched from paying his way through college with poker to doing SCT. He edits the jounal monthly and puts it up for printing as a pdf file in color. This month is 140 pages with a table of contents, cover and the sub title is YM leads the ES. Our great thanks to Eric for his passforward to us.
Print volume 1 and 2, study it and hilite it and begin the work after you have gotten your computer market display set up. Use the daily log and debrief. Go to the chat room and see how many people call their trades.
It is about selling the method and fleecing the flock. Why else would anyone spend so much time on this? There is a $$$ motive involved.
See Eric segway above. Here is a test you can perform. Try to send money. Let ET know if you were successful in any way. Quarterly we run a sweep of those using the name as a bait and switch. We are currently declining 3 times the Jake Bernstein speaking level of payment. If we speak it is gratis. Everyone who is passing it forward (helping others) is also contributing some of their new found profits to things they deem worthy.