You seriously think retail traders have one fucking clue what is going on in the treasury basis? You think they could even tell you what index basis trading is? Rate differentials as well.
I didn't say you can't make money. I said you're not getting ahead of them. Big difference.
Never said simple strategies can't work either.
Fact is, retail doesn't even know they are in competition with the institutions. Forget about the actual details of it, most retail is clueless on infrastructure, quant finance, market making, all of it.

