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Setting d is not about a price target. It's the minimum expected price differential between prospective entry and exit, which a trader should come to some sort of conclusion about before making a move. That is what d is in the challenge question, which I repeat for purposes of reference...

Is that the royal "we" you are using? You really are the most amusing poster on ET. As far as your convoluted query goes, my question to you was first and on topic and so takes precedence. In other words, after you.

Are you telling me that you can set d to a value arbitrarily close to zero and still make a profit? The following is included for purposes of reference: What is a reliable method that can be applied to past price action to determine a usefully large positive or negative number d such that...

Good night, your inflatedness.

Perhaps you can explain how it would be possible to determine "a better than 50% chance for profitable movement" without being able to anticipate in what direction and to what minimum extent price will move after you have committed to a prospective position That is what d is in the challenge...

Perhaps you can explain how it would be possible to profit in (directional) trading without being able to anticipate in what direction and to what minimum extent price will move after you have committed to a prospective position. That is what d is in the challenge question, which I repeat for...

It seems that if the Imaginary Trend were a reality, the following challenge question would have been answered by now: What is a reliable method that can be applied to past price action to determine a usefully large positive or negative number d such that (p1-p0)>=d, where p0 is the current...

I haven't noticed a single responsive answer to my challenge question.

The above is a post made in total ignorance.

What you have proposed is beside the point of the challenge question at hand which requires a prediction of d.

I can only interpret your semi-coherent reply in terms that must come as a disappointment to a large portion of the readership of this thread. Moving on, to those who would like to aid this exercise in the betterment of trading for the entire ET community, the challenge question remains.

Thanks for the reply. 1. The proposed method needs to produce d, not p1. 2. Everyone knows p0. 3. The variable p1 is the exit price, which is determined by p0 plus or minus d. Any working system of directional trading has to produce a profitable d.

That's wonderful. Are you ready to answer the challenge I put forward on page 64?

Interesting results. Are you ready to answer the challenge put forward in my previous post?

It seems that if the Imaginary Trend were a reality, the following challenge question would have been answered by now: What is a reliable method that can be applied to past price action to determine a usefully large positive or negative number d such that (p1-p0)>=d, where p0 is the current...

The quotes themselves are publicly available. The uses of the quotes in a proprietary system are not.

Welcome to the Age of Automation.

No one goes to that restaurant anymore, it's too crowded. If price trend was anything but a fantasy, it would be such easy money that no one could get any.

There is no free lunch for anybody. That's why 19 out of 20 follows of the Imaginary Trend blow up.

What an ignorant statement.