Quote from bitrend:
LOL. You're kidding. You believe this. You have no clue why the market is always going up? By the mean of always going up is it's understandable that the market retraces back from time to time but never go back to the point where it was 100 years ago.
Let me give you a story then you will understand why the market is always going up. Let say if they give you an option that you can choose 30 world best horses and you travel with them. Your objective is to go far as much as you can using your horses. You don't need to come back home if you still have energy to go far. The more distance you made the more you win, there's an excellent prize for your motivation, money and fame. Don't worry they build bridges to connect continents for you.
Scenario 1:
When one or few of your horses die or sick you can replace with new fresh best horses and disregard the death/sick horses, you leave them and continue your travel with always 30 best horses. Of course you can always spend sometime in the place where you enjoy the most or retrace back and stay for a while over there and then move forward.
Scenario 2:
You can always replace a sick or death horse with the new best horse but with a condition that you bring the death/sick horses with you. Don't worry your dead horses won't got rotten since they provide you a special chemistry to keep them fresh.
In scenario 1, you will go very very far. It's unlimited, you're always "going up" or so far. But in scenario 2, at one moment you will end up by having a lot of death/sick horses and you will no longer could carry them, they become too heavy. And as a result, you can't go far. You're not always "going up."
Well, it's exactly happen with the DOW (30 best stocks, refer to 30 best horses of the example above) and the S&P500. They don't keep the death or sick companies in the divisor. They are using method described in scenario 1. Now you see why the market is always going up. Do you still believe in not zero-sum?