You Name It... The Models Time It..

Quote from tradingjournals:

SPY @ 179. A model that estimates sellers and buyers says that market is sitting at around mid point with 0.33 up and 0.37 down for where buyers and sellers would be according to model.

A test for this model is to journal a short of 1/8 size.
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SPY at 178.89 (earlier, in AH 178.87). Model signal to close. +0.11. RR=13/25 ~ 0.5.
 
Quote from ammo:

liking the calls,
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Do you trade for yourself or you manage OPM?

Did you notice the rise in VIX but less selling in market? The vix premium sellers seem to be hedging with xiv futures. This could explain premium buying with less selling in stock market.

If there is a gap tomorrow, which side would it be on?

Tomorrow's job report could determine the short term direction of the market.
 
Quote from tradingjournals:

That is why I asked you about a study of RRs, so that I may do a number of things such as compare the model single RRs to the RRs in such studies, and make a number of conclusions.
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But you asked about a single observation; This is what made it comical.
 
Quote from bwolinsky:

But you asked about a single observation; This is what made it comical.
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I understood and knew what you meant. That is why I gave you the example of the mean. I also knew that is what some readers would understand, but it is flawed understanding. You do not seem to have understood yet. If someone wants that I give another example, let me know.
 
Quote from tradingjournals:

Tomorrow's job report could determine the short term direction of the market.
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So true! The mkts will fluctuate. Pretty ballsy statement.
 
Quote from drownpruf:

So true! The mkts will fluctuate. Pretty ballsy statement.
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You are asked to leave this thread, to never return, and to put me on ignore.

Moderators: please remove his posts and the posts of others who disturb this thread.
 
Quote from tradingjournals:

[B 1 ]Do you trade for yourself or you manage OPM?

2 Did you notice the rise in VIX but less selling in market? The vix premium sellers seem to be hedging with xiv futures. This could explain premium buying with less selling in stock market.

3If there is a gap tomorrow, which side would it be on?

4Tomorrow's job report could determine the short term direction of the market. [/B]
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1 have a backer so opm

2 market tends to rotate up/down forming a bell curve , when finished it creates another,eventually combining those and making a larger one,we moved to top of one and began another,and came back to neutral between the 2
http://imgur.com/q6SLxQI


3 possible 77 http://i.imgur.com/baOUNxi.png
also some unfinished trendline touching at 1820 area
http://i.imgur.com/Ljv6EWy.png
4 market will decide it for us

p.s. if you are worried about drownpruf,don't if your worth your salt ,it will prove out,if not ,listening to him you may someday be..either way he will not be as tough on you as the market, and he's free
 
Quote from tradingjournals:
12-02-13 07:43 PM
In the currencies: EUR/JPY @ 139.39. Short signal from model Fxx.
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EUR/JPY @ 139.66
How about now?
 
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