Quote from EMRGLOBAL:
Texrex and Murray the Turtle....Good points.
Texrex, I would say that sales numbers of the last two quarters are close to "Stop" as you can get, for now. I do think sales of New Cars will drop further and the biggest decline will be in the months going forward.
Murray,
Sure, I would imagine that all local and regional banks will lend if it looks like they will get their money back. So, their lending standards reflect that "Want". For example: I don't think you can be a day labor in Texas, with out a w2, no assets, with less than a grand in the bank and go to "Frost" to acuqire a loan.
On the same not, I do not believe you can be a 9 2 5er, in Debt, making the average salary for that region, and think you will get a loan. This is camp is the majority of the people in the US.
So, while your banker friend is correct in that they will lend if they get their money back, I would believe he means to individuals who qualify under their "Strict lending rules. Otherwise, his bank will be part of the expect 1000 to go under in 09.
Also, if you look at the car (sticker prices) prices compaired to the "Panic" the Big 3 show, sure does not seem as if they want to push those cars off the lot. I have yet to see in San Antonio (Not really in the market for a US car) any true drop in prices for Ford, GM, etc. I do see 10 year financing now with zero down and zero % for 7 years. But the prices seem to be the same.