Oh I do, I just don't do it well yet.or..just..do it![]()
Oh I do, I just don't do it well yet.or..just..do it![]()
Oh I do, I just don't do it well yet.


A method that works can lose money on an individual trade because, of course, not every trade can be a winner. No method is 100%. But if you keep doing it, it will make money over time.
For it to be worth the effort, though, it has to be a superior method which beats the market by a very wide margin. Otherwise you might as well just put your money in an index tracker.
The post I found most illuminating in this thread was #853. Especially the reference to riskfreetrading's earlier post. IMHO, the order of 1-5 should be reversed if 1 is the most important. nysestocks' reply was very telling.
I had to go back and see and I remember that post (and the poster) from the time I actually was reading through this thread.
However, in a later post he says something to the effect of having re-read the thread and seeing how much he missed the first time around and how he had made some false assumptions.
That was kind of what I alluded to earlier as there been some guys in this thread who have claimed an eureka moment, only to later re-appear and seem just as puzzled as they once was.


Hey, I am no expert. In fact, I know next to nothing.what i don't understand is why some people get married to a certain market or symbol..unless..of course the marriage is working out![]()

can you copy the relevant section here for discussion?
that is common..same as looking at a chart and seeing the patterns reappearing over and over..and..the next time the pattern starts to develop it is time to act..just to discover that price quickly goes against you after entry..de ja vue![]()
T= M

Hey, I am no expert. In fact, I know next to nothing.
But, I do not think being married to a certain market/symbol is MY particular issue. As mentioned, I have access to quite a few volatile, liquid instruments that I can trade. This includes the micros.

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/why-is-the-obvious-not-so-obvious.151802/page-86#post-2395593
Posted by riskfreetrading on 04-08-09 05:38 AM:
Obvious but not obvious:
1. The root of success/failure is yourself.
2. Noise is your friend, and your enemy. Never fight your friend, but fight your enemy.
3. Do not seek opportunity in an instrument, but seek an instrument that has the opportunity.
4. Repetition can be a virtue
5. The best party to join is one where you have proof that eveyone is happy.
IMHO these were the biggest giveaway in the thread, especially no. 5.
nysestocks' reply:
Did I write some of that post, or are some more of the 99.99999999999999999999% going a bit strange![]()
Well written, and factual!
But surely price is patterned - yes?
How else could we learn to recognize LR opportunities?
Time = Money.
Could mean many things. My investor buddy (who's admittedly done very, very well over the last 10 years when he first started out) always talks about how TIME in the market beats market timing. And surely this is true for 99 % of market participants.
But as this thread relates to short term trading if I'm not misunderstood, I assume T = M would mean that you need to learn to wait for the right TIME before pulling the trigger, i.e., a LR opportunity.
In my own trading, I only know too well that there are days where I 'run out of bullets' by either being too early or too late. The day may very well go UP as anticipated, but that doesn't help me if it first goes DOWN and I went long 'too early'.
You can go a long way in trading just by learning to not LOSE money and that's usually done when you execute in high risk areas, i.e., the middle of nowhere or near the end of a move.
By the way - why are you trading MES and not ES? You mentioned the risk being 1/10th, but surely that means the reward is 1/10th too. I don't see any valid reason for trading micros unless you're trading a very small account or just learning to trade.
Thanks.
PS: I'm just a casual reader in this thread, but maybe I should find the time to re-read it from start and take it more seriously.

