Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

Quote from Mysteron:

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ahaaha

M,you really love to exercise (aka FUCK) your mind,do you?
 
Quote from The Oracle:

quite right..but not what NY had in mind i would say

Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

firstly, it would help to know what the obvious is..as you rightly say

knowing what the obvious is..is not the most important thing..but knowing the WHY..well..that is the one that can make all the difference when trading

think about what we have been posting and taking about..is it not obvious!

now..seeing what is obvious..WHY is it so that the obvious is not so obvious

it helps to remind oneself..that..the only thing i really know is that i really know nothing

TO

I'm sure that many people know what the obvious is but haven't connected it to the original post.

The reason could be that some behaviour and ideas are so instinctive and intuitive that it is hard to articulate them in precise terms. It could also be because some people are incapable of analysing in simple steps what it is they are trying to achieve. The need to be right and acting on instinct or emotionally, rather than trading according to a plan, is probably where the disposition effect comes from.

Another possible reason is the tendency of the mind to look for patterns in meaningless features and then to miss the true information.
 
Quote from Mysteron:

I'm sure that many people know what the obvious is but haven't connected it to the original post.

The reason could be that some behaviour and ideas are so instinctive and intuitive that it is hard to articulate them in precise terms. It could also be because some people are incapable of analysing in simple steps what it is they are trying to achieve. The need to be right and acting on instinct or emotionally, rather than trading according to a plan, is probably where the disposition effect comes from.

Another possible reason is the tendency of the mind to look for patterns in meaningless features and then to miss the true information.

well said MN..the worst thing a trader can use is his/her gut feeling..anyone who pushes that crap does not have a clue what they are talking about and have just read some shite printed by some idiot who had nothing better to do with his time:D

the pattern thing you mentioned is very important:)

what if someone told you that all that pattern stuff is one heap load of shite..and all it is..is someone trying to justify what has happened..for what ever reason..whether they have just lost money or lost face:D

it goes something like this..if you want to make money you must be prepared to risk some money..if you are afraid to lose money then you are finished from the start

once you get over the fear factor..next comes the learning of the little details that are inherent in the stock market..we will stick with stocks and leave the futures to the real experts:D

now..what is the best way to learn anything:)
 
Quote from rossky:

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The obvious thing about the chart on the top is that the price on it starts at the bottom left hand corner and goes to the top right hand corner.

***
It's going to be two years soon after this thread started and I still don't know exactly what the "Obvious" is and WHY the Obvious is not so obvious.

2 years is nothing in the trading game:D

most people only start to learn when it is too late..that i when most..or all..of their trading money has been lost

trading for profit is very easy once you understand and follow some very basic and simple procedures

it is so funny when you have gone thru it all and look back at what is happening on a daily basis..and..that is exactly the reason why those with experience can make money trading..as they know exactly what is happening and what exactly must be done

a fool learns from his own mistakes..a wise man learns from the mistakes of others:D

yum is nothing more than an opportunity to make money on any given day..who gives a shite what they do or what they do not do..all we need to know is what way the chart is moving and how long it will keep moving before it stops and reverses:cool:

TO
 
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