2. Odd for price to go up from entry point > odd for price to go down from entry point.
In a downward price movement, I look for the progression through the following stages
a.) reducing of selling pressure, then
b.) somewhat neutral between selling and buying, then
c.) attempt to move higher.
While price in b.) and c.), I try to locate three price points X, Y and Z that satisfy the following (with X > Y > Z)
If price gets to Z, it negates b.) and c.) therefore not worth it to hold on if I already entered. If price gets to Y, it confirms b.) and c.) then it is the potential entry point. And for X, is this "prized" price attainable and how fast it can get there?
From X, Y and Z, I can determine my position and my risk. If I feel good with the supposed outcome (gain or loss), then I take the trade when price hits Y