fX has PA too! LolFrak, I just noticed this is the FX section!
Sorry all!
@PPC
And others that may be interested.
I decided to go back and see what happed on that day. I likely had something to do and just quit trading. I don't remember. Nevertheless, as you can clearly see that price, after my suggested long to myself on the chart went up not only up to the middle of the channel but almost to the top before reversing back down. This is typical of bull channels.
When a bull channel is in play going long on any BO south of it is a higher probability trade than doing than going long at the bottom of a bear channel. I think the reason is obvious. The larger context (bear channel) is bearish!
I think maybe your assumption that I suggested going long because the entry was on a bull bar is perhaps a wrong assumption on your part. I always consider not only the immediate situation but the larger context.
Immediate context: We have a BO south of the bull channel. Usually within 5 bars price heads back towards the bottom of the channel and can go all the way to the top. In addition, look what follows the BO. Smaller bars than the larger bear BO bar. The BO volatility didn't continue.
In that BO series at least 3 dojis are in it. You might could even say 4 dojis (if you count that second bear bar after the BO as a doji. Doji's are 1 bar TRs. That means two-sided trading is taking place.
If that was going t be a successful BO with continued volatility (gusto) we would have seen better follow-through. Instead we see volatility wanning (bars smaller), dojis...two sided trading. Means both bulls and bears are active. The bearish institutions could not continue pushing price down. With that bull bar (my suggested entry bar) the immediate context also showed the bulls are now winning. I saw a viable scalp back up to the bottom of the channel and depending on how strong they proved themselves to be the move could last to the middle or even to the top of the channel.
So see I am not acting on just a bull bar but I am acting on the immediate context (among that the bulls are turning the tide) and the larger context i.e. we are in a bull channel.
In addition, in the larger context we also have 3 maybe even 4 MTRs (major trend reversals) depending on how you count them. I will touch upon the elements in a MTR later today showing and example of one taken today.
Bottom lie all was a go for at least a scalp...i.e. green for takeoff!
Maybe the professional traders would have been throwing their coffee pot at the screen or maybe they would have just accepted they were wrong shorting and reversed their position. Hopefully the latter.
Just remember, I am considering several things when I make a decision to enter or suggest a entry to myself even if I don't take it.
I don't make calls for people nor do I advise. I am just showing techniques that I use. Some may feel these techniques could be useful in their own trading. I am not telling anyone to trade the way I do. If they choose to do so then that is their decision.
I lose too. Just like we all do. There are times I am flat out wrong on my PA read. That comes with discretionary trading. I am OK with that as I usually know how to get my losses back fairly quickly and end the session in the green.
BTW many professional traders do in fact scale in averaging down. They will often add to their losing position. But what do the books say? Most indicate that doing such an evil thing is breaking a cardinal rule of trading. I probably do it 50% of the time. It works fine for me in scalping as I know when I need to get out of an averaged down position and just take my loss and how to quickly get it back and usually then some. But then I am a scalper. I am not just going to sit around keeping on averaging down a losing position, all session long, hoping for a bounce to profit or BE.
Well know you got my explanation. Maybe it will make sense?
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I’m not interested at all, I’m just concerned that you’re teaching others PA while you’re not able to properly read the PA yourself even after the fact, and therefore you’re actually harming the newbies.
Seriously, your PA understanding and reading is really bad. Typical Al Brooks’ inability to see the forest for the trees. Put your ego aside and look (from a detached perspective) at the chart that I’ve corrected for you, and you’ll see how flawed your trade logic and PA reading is.
Also, you claiming that a professional trader would have been “wrong” (based on your "hindsight bias" "entry bar”) is a ridiculous statement because trading is NOT about the outcome of a single trade (being wrong/vs right), but rather about focusing on the process and using trade logic. Any intermediate trader would tell you that you’re suffering from success/failure attribution bias (i.e., attributing your success to your “skill” and your failures to bad luck).
I’m not having a go at you, it’s just that your PA reading (even after the fact) sucks, which would be OK, but the problem is that you’re contaminating the minds of others.
It reminds me of the saying “In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.”
Well I guess my flawed logic worked out pretty good on that chart. The three trades I actually took on my platform and so indicated by the platform worked just fine and were profitable scalps and the 4th trade (which I didn’t take) but which YOU said was a bad call actually would have worked out just fine. BTW when I made that 4th trade statement I did it while data was live. It was made right at the time of the session when those last bars were in play. There was no hindsight about other than the what is on the chart and the time that lapsed from the call until I annotated and posted the chart. So, you brought it into question. Since you did not go back to see what happened, I did. I went back and printed out a chart showing that it was indeed a good call. I did not know it actually made it up to near top of the channel until I checked AFTER you brought the call into question.I’m not interested at all, I’m just concerned that you’re teaching others PA while you’re not able to properly read the PA yourself even after the fact, and therefore you’re actually harming the newbies.
Seriously, your PA understanding and reading is really bad. Typical Al Brooks’ inability to see the forest for the trees. Put your ego aside and look (from a detached perspective) at the chart that I’ve corrected for you, and you’ll see how flawed your trade logic and PA reading is.
Also, you claiming that a professional trader would have been “wrong” (based on your "hindsight bias" "entry bar”) is a ridiculous statement because trading is NOT about the outcome of a single trade (being wrong/vs right), but rather about focusing on the process and using trade logic. Any intermediate trader would tell you that you’re suffering from success/failure attribution bias (i.e., attributing your success to your “skill” and your failures to bad luck).
I’m not having a go at you, it’s just that your PA reading (even after the fact) sucks, which would be OK, but the problem is that you’re contaminating the minds of others.
It reminds me of the saying “In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.”
Well I guess my flawed logic worked out pretty good on that chart. The three trades I actually took on my platform and so indicated by the platform worked just fine and were profitable scalps and the 4th trade (which I didn’t take) but which YOU said was a bad call actually would have worked out just fine.
Lol you are a bit hilarious. And not nice. What a terrible comment to say to hawaiianiceberg. Is that indicative of good character? Especially, after he just asked a simple question which apparently set you off. IMO you don’t need to be dishing out talk about Ego.Sorry to disappoint you, I had a good week.
More importantly, is it too late for your mum to get an abortion?
Dude, you missed the gist of my post, and yet again you are feeding your own ego and are sidestepping the real issue that the outcome of (after the fact) trades has nothing to do being right/wrong.
Your “explanation” is equivalent of standing on the edge of the ocean with a lunatic who sublimely smiles as he points to the horizon and says, “Look at the flat line out yonder and behold how I have proven that the world is flat!”
Anyway, good luck to those learning from you.
Lol you are a bit hilarious. And not nice. What a terrible comment to say to hawaiianiceberg. Is that indicative of good character? Especially, after he just asked a simple question which apparently set you off. IMO you don’t need to be dishing out talk about Ego.
Understand, being right or wrong is what affects your bank account. Wrong can send you to the bank to borrow instead of to deposit. Trading is about making money and you can’t make money being wrong. You have to be right. At least enough of times to pull you out of your wrongs!
Why would anyone study to learn PA or any other trading strategies? They are trying to make money. And you cannot make money being wrong. Whether you recognize it or not trading does have skill involved. Skill reading PA. Skill in employing TA. Skill in execution. Skill in the psychological aspect of trading. It certainly is not about just being lucky.
I see you have recently joined (less than 24 months) and have made a few posts (less than 400). I glanced at a few and it appears to me that few have any substancial information in them that would be of use to trading, IMO. And it appears many are disparaging to others. Just like your explanation above of my explanation!
I did find a post where you said you bounced back and forth between option spreads and FX. That you have not been able to make option spreads work for you but you can make FX work. It appears you are still finding your own way. Good luck! You may need it.
BTW it would be lovely to see charts where you made trades that your platform makes the posts on them on the chart. Followed by giving explanations of those trades. Wrong or right! Wrong won’t make money but wrong has lessons to be learned embedded in it. So what do you say? Gonna post a few?
Over and out PPC.
Here is a little bit of EGO:
I was right. You were wrong. I took the opposite side of your losing trade (if you even took it). I say this because connected to your PPC icon or whatever is the line “the opposite side of your losing trade” ROFLMAO Do you get the irony?
Adios PPC