I saw when I wrote that, that I left it open for that response. I will try to phrase things in a more direct manner here. Because technically yes I can see how you can view what I said that way.
If what you're doing is not a niche and will work in virtually any environment as well, than I don't understand why it's so incredulous to you, to think that it might work for other vehicles as well. If you're saying it doesn't work in any environment and only for certain products, than to me personally I would consider that a niche.
There's not a difference in views here and there's nothing magical about it. There is definitely a universal formula(Math+psychological+understanding how the market operates), particularly for liquid instruments that have a lot of interest from large parties.
Here's just one example and piece of the puzzle of how it's universal, that I am sure most people are already aware of:
No large participate is just slamming down on a buy or sell button, they would price themselves out. So we know their goal is to get a net weighted average position regardless if that's a long or short position. In order to get filled they are going to apply their capital in a way to entice and bully other traders(be that retail other large participates or etc) in a position and than upon forcing them out, will help create the liquidity they need to build that net weighted average. This is just one example and one piece of the puzzle that yes is universal and nothing surprising or magical about it.
It doesn't even matter. If what you're doing works consistently than of course keep doing it. Just as confounded as you are about my comments, that's how confounded I am about yours because there certainly is a universal formula and if you're not using it and it still works consistently in all market environments, that's really impressive to me. Even than I would classify that still as a niche, simply because it only works on certain instruments, which means you found some imbalance in that particular instrument and you're taking advantage of it.
Don't want to play semantics, which it's possible at this point we both might be doing by accident. I want to end the conversation if we can. We can even say you're right and I am wrong. But wanted to explain this last part as to why I think the way I do.
Ty for clarifying. I get your view now.
I think that, by your description, I am "niche", I just trade a few instruments, Volatility and a few big Tech stocks
I do ALSO trade the broad market. SP500, but it only works in ideal setups.
(I don't think that I ever said I wasn't 'niche')
But its an interesting for me to view it that way as niche, I hadn't considered it that way before.
Agreed, I've no time for semantics, I think you're views are helpful, if only because I like contrasting views.
< There is definitely a universal formula >
I remain doubtful about this. The example given is well known, but I think the devil is in the details, and more a myth than a reality. Surely, it'd be the privilege of giant and wicked banks (JPM, GS etc) playing market wizards? And if they're that big they have corresponding liquidity concerns
Surely such a universal formula would be arbitraged away?
For example, I know of a very apparent setup where a universal formula could apply, its frustratingly technical, and I'm convinced that some people are exploiting it, and I'm incensed with envy. But this just shows how rare the application of universal formula is, even when its a very valid usecase.
My best guess at a universal formula would be via the artful application of TA. via a set of rules. I kind of do this occasionally via Pennant setups (but even then I convert it to Maths) and preconditions have to apply.
Ty for the conversation