to the op...have you thought about what if russia don't invade ukraine? what's your trade/setup now?
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%%Plus the markets are at sky-high valuations and all time highs right now. I have no idea what will happen (and don't trust the narrative coming out of D.C. at all), but it's not like you'd be buying a depressed asset that's deeply undervalued.


And what's the pay off for Russia? More sanctions on an economy already on the verge of collapse? Really bad trade on Putin's part.
Domestic populism. He goes to war every time his popularity is in decline.
to the op...have you thought about what if russia don't invade ukraine? what's your trade/setup now?
"The Western World" doesn't give a damn. Biden is senile, Germany is too dependent on Russia's gas/oil, and there is no willingness in the rest of Europe to actually DO anything other than write strong-worded letters. Putin has (due to a huge very well run propaganda machine) his population's support for what he does, and the sanctions will, even if strong at first (which I doubt they will be), be watered down because, as Lenin has put it, capitalists will happily sell ropes to be hanged with. (Yes, I know, the attribution of the quote is in doubt, but the meaning is apropos all the same).His attempt to take Ukraine now became impossible because the Western world would never accept that. If we would accept that, Putin would later take over other ares too. He is busy now taking over Belarus.