When Russia invades, go ALL IN...

[blink18]

Is NATO really STILL trying to get Ukraine to join it? Insanity if so. Get out of Russia's back yard, they have good reason to be paranoid when their long time enemy is getting countries right next door to them to join their pact.

Regardless, BUY BUY BUY if Russia goes in!!!

What backyard? NATO is already in Norway, Estonia, Latvia (all have land borders with Russia). Russia and USA are neighbours in Bering Strait.

Putin wants in an old communist way, to "protect" Ukraine from an "evil" imperialist countries. All eastern european countries that joined EU/NATO, are much more economically successful (gdp per capita) than Russia. That must hurt.

 

[KCalhoun]

I'm betting markets SELL on invasion news, just bot more UVXY

 

[maxinger]

I'm calling it right here. The minute Russia attacks, buy buy buy the stock market, make a killing. Thank me later.

You need to do a much better job, do much more research before recommending going ALL IN.

you will lose tons of money if you don't do tons of analysis,
tons of research, tons of homework.

lazy people tend to trade by gambling and by guessing.
just writing 3 lines is far from wanting.

As a thread creator, you are expected to provide quality writeup.
You are expected to back up your statement with supporting facts/data/analysis/charts ....
However, if the new thread is created in chit-chat /garbage ... session,
then the above don't apply.

 

[SoyUnGanador]

I'm betting markets SELL on invasion news, just bot more UVXY

Good luck to you Ken, UVXY will indeed spike very temporarily at least, and if it does you better sell it when you can. Because once the invasion news comes out literally all the bad news is out there are already reflected in the market (including the likelihood of an invasion), and the markets will soon turn around and make anyone long rich. Buy buy buy on the invasion!!!

 

[Overnight]

Good luck to you Ken, UVXY will indeed spike very temporarily at least, and if it does you better sell it when you can. Because once the invasion news comes out literally all the bad news is out there are already reflected in the market (including the likelihood of an invasion), and the markets will soon turn around and make anyone long rich. Buy buy buy on the invasion!!!

Yer getting ahead of yourself. Forget the Ukraine thing...

You have not thought deep enough about the Fed issue. Now that oil is creeping ever so much higher on the Putin deal...If an invasion DOES happen, oil is going to spike above $100. This will have a cascading effect of driving us into a recession, because there's no stimmy money from the WH coming since BBB is dead. High oil prices are probably the single biggest factor in recessionary pressures, because it affects every aspect of life.

So, with oil spiking above 100 and going who knows where, and with inflation already at 7.5%, what can the Fed do? Nada. All they can do now is drive us into the ground with rate hikes galore, and deepening our problems.

 

[SoyUnGanador]

Yer getting ahead of yourself. Forget the Ukraine thing...

You have not thought deep enough about the Fed issue. Now that oil is creeping ever so much higher on the Putin deal...If an invasion DOES happen, oil is going to spike above $100. This will have a cascading effect of driving us into a recession, because there's no stimmy money from the WH coming since BBB is dead. High oil prices are probably the single biggest factor in recessionary pressures, because it affects every aspect of life.

So, with oil spiking above 100 and going who knows where, and with inflation already at 7.5%, what can the Fed do? Nada. All they can do now is drive us into the ground with rate hikes galore, and deepening our problems.

You forgot about at least two things Overnight - the U.S. government shows absolutely, positively, no signs of slowing down its spending, which at its enormous levels is HUGELY expansionary. I don't give a darn how many times the Fed hikes rates, the government will not slow its massive expansionary overspending.

And any kind of protracted war will only increase U.S. spending, making it even more expansionary.

And then, there is the inflation that goes along with that, which will in and of itself also drive stock prices higher over time (nominally only maybe given the inflation, but higher nonetheless).

The third thing is any spike in energy above what it is now will likely be temporary. The U.S., Saudies, etc. can all expand production to take on any short-fall from Russia.

Mark my words Overnight, when that invasion happens, well, IF it happens, you will want to be long very shortly thereafter. Don't miss out on getting rich yo.

 

[Overnight]

...
Mark my words Overnight, when that invasion happens, well, IF it happens, you will want to be long very shortly thereafter. Don't miss out on getting rich yo.

I'm already long from Jan 3rd, and am down on the SP and NAZ from where you see them at this point, YTD. What is it currently...9% on SP, 15% on Naz?

Don't talk to me about "going long".

 

[SoyUnGanador]

I'm already long from Jan 3rd, and am down on the SP and NAZ from where you see them at this point, YTD. What is it currently...9% on SP, 15% on Naz?

Don't talk to me about "going long".

Then can I talk to you about using margin?

 

[KGTrader4]

If the invasion happens, the sanctions that will be put on Russia, not only by us but the rest of the western world, will be very restrictive and make it very hard if not impossible, for Russia to do business with the rest of the world. This will not be a good thing for the Global economy, in any way. Maybe we get a pop on the invasion, like we did when we went into Iraq. But it won’t last. We will see inflation that makes what we have now look like Disneyland.
And that would push us into global recession,
Not to mention the fact that Russia invading successfully could embolden China v. Taiwan. Making things much worse.

on a separate note, with all due respect, it feels like you (Soy) are almost joyfully rooting for invasion. Something disturbing about that idea, no matter how much money can be made. A lot of blood will be shed, including Ukrainian citizens.

 

[Overnight]

Then can I talk to you about using margin?

I'm already on margin. In case you missed the memo for the last 6 years or whatever I have been on this site, I trade only futures. So when I type shit like SP and Naz, I mean the futures equivalents of ES and NQ, because they track the same, heh.

P.S. And yes, I know NQ is really NDX, not Nasdaq. Just for brevity's sake, man.