I think you won the counter intuitive prize1) The less confirmations/signals you use to enter a trade, the greater your odds for success.
2) Typically the best short op looks like a great long and the best long op looks like a great short.

I think you won the counter intuitive prize1) The less confirmations/signals you use to enter a trade, the greater your odds for success.
2) Typically the best short op looks like a great long and the best long op looks like a great short.

A few come to mind, which were all pretty counter-intuitive to me at some point in time:
- Winning percentages are not as important as Profit/Loss ratio, in terms of how the long-run equity curve for the strategy will look like
- Although alpha is a lot cooler to talk about, beta can be a whole lot more profitable
- Most academic finance papers were not written by / are not intended for use by industry practitioners
1. Balls count more than brains.
is this spreadsheet supposed to illustrate volatility skew with put option premia more expensive than call premia
the spreadsheet illustrates precisely what it illustrates.
(And, it blows my mind.)
As far as I'm concerned...Everything, to some extent or degree, is counter-intuitive;
Every new, and even experienced, trader...should always learn or be to: FREE YOUR MIND
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There's alot of poison and random noise out there that will just lead you astray,
And I'm talking about Everyone collectively...not just the obvious garbage salesmen.
1. Balls count more than brains.
2. Buy when it is going up, sell when it is going down.