Quote from Davidee2: So what is your edge and how do you know that it works?
In my trading experience, losing more than $20,000.00 total over a course of 10+ years, conducting 6+ years of very difficult primary research to develop an unconventional technical analysis approach to the markets; in my opinion, there is not just one edge, but five (5) different edges.
To me, they are known as:
Money Management Model
Timing
Direction
Magnitude
Probability
Without the ability to execute on these five (5) giants, I would not be able to trade any market.
However, before one gets there, they have to do some preparatory work by asking themselves: Why trade? What's the point of trading? Can I do something else with my capital and my valuable time, that will yield a higher return, faster, other than trading?
Then, the individual has to put a price tag on the WHY they are trading. This is one of the first mental steps that most of the 95% who fail, never seem to get around to doing. This is because, most people don't really understand how their brain works. If people truly understood how their brain worked and how they really accomplished anything worthwhile in life, this would easily become their very first step in their trading career.
I can't tell you what your WHY value should be - nobody can. That value is defined by you and you alone. However, that value is extremely important to everything you do next. Your defined $WHY$ value, dictates everything else to follow - including precisely what type of trader you ultimately become. To underestimate the importance of the WHY question, is to not understand the process of becoming a long-term successful trader.
Then, you need to develop a Revenue Plan for reaching that value associated with the WHY you are in the business. This is the second biggest mistake that many of the 95% who fail seem to make - they haven't learned the difference between a Revenue Model and a Revenue Strategy, and why having both are critically important to long-term success. The Model is the WHY. The Strategy is the HOW. The rest of your entire Trading System, or Trading Methodology, which produces the Timing, Direction, Magnitude and Probability, should flow directly from this foundation.
Believe it or not, your Money Management Model, dictates the type and kind of trading indicators/signals/methods you build or develop going forward. It even governs the kind and type of trades you can and cannot execute. Everything you do in this business, begins with defining your $WHY$ and then building your Money Management Model. There is no more important first step to obtaining your "edges."
I can briefly discuss the rest later, if you are interested in learning.