What is your analysis of PTJ's prediction of the 1987 crash?

This is all hindsight by now, but any chartist would have saw that the markets were about to decline around that time in 1987.

I've posted a chart explaining why. The mood had turned bearish way before Black Monday. The market double topped in August, broke down in early September and came back to test the break down in early October. If I were around back then (I was a year old at the time), my system would have had me short in early October. I wouldn't have expected for the bottom to fall out like that, though. In fact, I probably would've expected some short-covering in the blue shaded area but had it not bounced, I would've stayed short....or I would have used any rally to sell more.


Well said.

The fail-safe signal printed on Mondat 12th October when price and the 20EMA on the Dow closed below the 50EMA. Same signal appeared on the S&P on the 13th. But there were abundant TA warning signals before then.
 
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