what can be predicted and what cannot be in the market?

[mute9003]

price fluctuating below then above your longer term ema line is more likely than not a prediction
based on previous data you can predict with very high probability that if price dropped sharply below ema it will very likely rebound either to or above ema line because based on the history of every single stock the price tends to fluctuate around the longer term ema line.
so when i see a sharp spike i can predict that the price will collapse after it peaks with higher probability of it continuing to go up.
same forprice crashing sharply. and then rebound . being overbought and oversold.
similar to when rubber band

 

[deaddog]

price fluctuating below then above your longer term ema line is more likely than not a prediction
based on previous data you can predict with very high probability that if price dropped sharply below ema it will very likely rebound either to or above ema line because based on the history of every single stock the price tends to fluctuate around the longer term ema line.
so when i see a sharp spike i can predict that the price will collapse after it peaks with higher probability of it continuing to go up.
same forprice crashing sharply. and then rebound . being overbought and oversold.
similar to when rubber band

How do you trade that prediction?
Moving averages only show you where price has been, not where it is going.
By the time price gets back to the ma I predict the ma will have moved.

 

[Bad_Badness]

If all things are possible, impossibility is possible too.
Which is a contradiction as it would mean that possible and impossible are possible and impossible at the same time.
But something cannot be possible and impossible at the same time. But because everything is possible that would be possible too.

Exactly. Vacuous!

 

[userque]

Who's got the chops to DO this stuff?
Where are they Found?

I suspect many aren't looking to be 'found.'
I suspect others can be found for around two and twenty.

 

[traider]

What can be predicted: markets will keep grinding up due to inflation
Cannot be predicted: when there will be a huge crash/correction

 

[longandshort]

price fluctuating below then above your longer term ema line is more likely than not a prediction
based on previous data you can predict with very high probability that if price dropped sharply below ema it will very likely rebound either to or above ema line because based on the history of every single stock the price tends to fluctuate around the longer term ema line.
so when i see a sharp spike i can predict that the price will collapse after it peaks with higher probability of it continuing to go up.
same forprice crashing sharply. and then rebound . being overbought and oversold.
similar to when rubber band

What's the basis for these statements? Have you actually done a backtest to see what happens to stocks over time?

 

[MACD]

This has been a most interesting and informative thread. Hope it continues. Thanks

 

[panzerman]

If all things are possible, impossibility is possible too.
Which is a contradiction as it would mean that possible and impossible are possible and impossible at the same time.
But something cannot be possible and impossible at the same time. But because everything is possible that would be possible too.

An analogy is to this conundrum Schrodinger's cat. Both states are possible until you collapse the wave function and actualize one or the other events.

 

[MACD]

@Amahrix