Quote from Raystonn:
I would suggest you backtest your theory. Simply trend following has no edge. It will appear to make you money when the market is mostly trending, but you will lose all of your profits and a bit more when you get whipsawed. If you alter your signals to attempt to avoid whipsaws then you will find yourself missing some of the trends. You will still be net unprofitable in the long run.
Actually you'll be very profitable in the long run, once you put together the other piece(s) of the puzzle, like money management. Hell, you'll even be profitable even if you don't have the best money management.
The problem with trading like this is, as has been previously stated, it's a KISS system and most guys who think they are smart love to outwit (or try to) the market. This I admit, is mainly a matter of ego gratification, which is fleeting at best.
(Obviously) I've tried the opposite as well, and while I like the concept of being able to catch every turn, overtime, it's the trend followers on every level (intra-day, overnight), trading every financial instrument and/or commodity, who are going to generate the real wealth.
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Thanks for your thread, I just got reminded of the obvious.
Good trading,
Jimmy Jam