Quote from trefoil:
I think today showed gold is definitely in a bear market. The cause is what's interesting to the rest of the markets: the news is getting better.
In a normal cycle, when the news gets better, folks start getting nervous about Fed rate hikes and the market has its classic 10% correction.
So, the question for the next few weeks is going to be: is the end of QE the functional equivalent of tightening, and is that enough to warrant a standard issue correction?
Of course, if the news gets worse (another European M-80 going off, China deciding on a truly massive tightening move, etc, etc), the markets sell off anyway. Which is just another way of saying a correction is brewing.