I knooow. You've solidly stuck to your position. That is true. But everyone else in the country thought she was done.
After the debate, Warren’s campaign announced that they raised more than $2.8 million, their “best debate day of the entire campaign.” Warren’s campaign has raised $81 million and has $13 million on hand, according to OpenSecrets.
In one of my posts a couple days before the Iowa Caucus (I can;t find it so it must be under an Iowa Caucus thread rather than a Warren thread) I said that Iowa was the last chance to finish Poky off before the convention, otherwise she would try to get up again - not that she would necessarly succeed- but that the rotational nature of things will require re-looks of all the candidates. I think in that thread I said she would need to go below 14% percent to be killed off. Meaning her lowa loss would need to take her below 14% in national polls. She has managed to hover above that. This was pre-bloomberg drama and all of that. I pretty much still see it the same way. If she can make it to SuperTuesday- and she can now because she got some bucks and the drama has given her street cred- then she gets a chance to see the deck reshuffled. T
To have any chance at all, she does not need to win the primary, she just needs to see someone else not-win it such that they go to a brokered convention. And from there the forces that be will take Bernie down. But that is her pathway, if any. Obviously, the fact that Bernie is on a tear of late and might reach a majority before the convention undermines that theory. But the fact that most democrats and americans- outside of Bernieville- still cannot wrap their mind around nominating a socialist and giving the election to Trump on a silver platter supports it.
Anway...just to reconfirm.
My prediction on July 30- Biden will not be the nominee.
My prediction on July 30- Elizabeth Warren will be the nominee.
My updated prediction for today, having updated it several times before along the way: Elizabeth Warren and no Biden.
I will take my lumps as needed along the way rather than crabwalk away from them. So far, feeling good about the Biden prediction- but thanks anyway to everyone for the rotten tomatoes back when he was looking golden. On the Pokey part, I stay the course. If Bernie gets a majority then he does, but if he doesn't well then.....the beat goes on.
Back in July there were only two others who were on the record, I believe, Smallfill and Buy1.And they are staying the course on their views as well, it would appear. Good. We don't need any robo-posters here, or ones who hedge their comments to the point where it says nothing.
