Vol-trading for beginners

Where am I short $96K vols?

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vols came in a bit. These inside days are leading to something...

Pos-unch, so my vols came in 3K.
 

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vols came in a bit. These inside days are leading to something...

Pos-unch, so my vols came in 3K.

The market will do what it will, but I came upon a metric that suggests our economy has the potential to enter a long term, sustained boom. I’ll post details next week in my Biden-Harris Administration thread.
 
Just want to stress that the only difference between a 132/231 fly and a 2211 condor is one strike. IOW a 100/300/400 132 fly is nearly fungible to the 100/300 x 305/400 1122 condor. The difference would be the greeks (and terminal PNL) in the 300/305 vertical. The shared body strike makes it a fly (vs. condor) but it's semantics.

IOW, a 132 fly is really an asym-condor. It's best-practice to trade OTM so the condor is the default position when discussing asyms.

I remember this post from your Everything Journal:

“I did this 30 minutes ago, but it hasn't moved. Long the SPX MAY10 2870/2930/3030 231 put fly from 59 (currently 59.35 mid). I extended the outside wing by 10 points. I did the (2211) synthetic, but the natural is a tight spread. $59.60 is do-able here.”

Was wondering what the 2211 synthetic meant.

I’m still confused on what a 153 fly is? I think that’s what you labeled it, as I can’t find the post when you mentioned this ratio.
 
I remember this post from your Everything Journal:

“I did this 30 minutes ago, but it hasn't moved. Long the SPX MAY10 2870/2930/3030 231 put fly from 59 (currently 59.35 mid). I extended the outside wing by 10 points. I did the (2211) synthetic, but the natural is a tight spread. $59.60 is do-able here.”

Was wondering what the 2211 synthetic meant.

I’m still confused on what a 153 fly is? I think that’s what you labeled it, as I can’t find the post when you mentioned this ratio.


It's just to denote the terminal risk on the asym within either wing. IOW, there is naked risk and the debit (if at a debit) doesn't give you wing risk (with the 153). 253 is the other ratio typically used.
 
The market will do what it will, but I came upon a metric that suggests our economy has the potential to enter a long term, sustained boom. I’ll post details next week in my Biden-Harris Administration thread.

if you posted this 11 years ago it would have more merit lol
 
if you posted this 11 years ago it would have more merit lol

Oh come on now, Fauci has cured the Covid version of the flu and the Fed has cured bear markets. Who could have anticipated this in 2010? Just because ES is in reversion to mean territory in 3 out of 4 major time frames I watch, doesn’t mean it has to correct, right?

Besides, just a little more, and the baby boomers can all retire as millionaires! This is the roaring 20’s again, baby. Year for year. Ok, hopefully not year for year. There was the 1929 market crash, the Depression in the Thirties, and World War II starting in the late Thirties.

With current debt loads, consumer and systemic reliance on over specialization, and some weapon systems that can give everyone a bad day, we had better hope this thing keeps going. And going. And going.

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