Virginia poll. Dems are sweating bigly



Central, Southwest Virginia sees highest early voter turnout for election for governor


LYNCHBURG, Va. (WSET) — Virginia is just 8 days away from the heated Gubernatorial race. In Virginia, this is only the second year anyone can vote months before election day or request an absentee ballot without reason. Registrars in Danville, Roanoke and Lynchburg state they can tell.

In Roanoke over 6,000 people have either voted in person or requested an absentee ballots. Danville so far has seen over 3,000. In Lynchburg it’s over 6,500.

All three registrars said this is far more for a normal Governor's race, likely due to the new law.
https://wset.com/news/local/central...early-voter-turnout-for-election-for-governor
 
The early turnout is looking like something that the Dems want to see in Virginia so I will give them that. So far.

Ideally, the republicans will give them something they do not want to see before it over. And yes, we know the traditional explanation "republicans like to show up to vote later- The American Way, rather than ride the Soros Vans early or give their ballots to Soros Ballot Harvesters."
And there is a lot of truth to that. Except you gotta do it.

Two words to the republicans: CMON MAN.

Early Voting Turnout Is Soaring in Virginia Governor’s Race
The highest-turnout districts are mainly blue.

https://www.washingtonian.com/2021/10/26/early-voting-turnout-is-soaring-in-virginia-governors-race/


On the other hand: :cool: CMON MAN.

Republicans making headway in Virginia early voting

https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/...oting/65-f05ee63e-0291-465c-bc4d-3e37673aea70
 
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Watch early voting by percentage of the presidential turnout. If early voting is in the lower 30 percentages of the presidential election then advantage republicans, middle to upper 30s then anyone’s game, 40% and over advantage Dems.
 
UsualName said:
Watch early voting by percentage of the presidential turnout. If early voting is in the lower 30 percentages of the presidential election then advantage republicans, middle to upper 30s then anyone’s game, 40% and over advantage Dems.
More...
It would be good to know how many votes for McAuliffe are lifted from the bloated voter rolls
Voters that have died or moved out of state..These voters look legal but hard to trace..These are mail in votes with no ID and fake signatures

The operatives on the ground know who these ghost voters are....Its how Trump lost
 
UsualName said:
Watch early voting by percentage of the presidential turnout. If early voting is in the lower 30 percentages of the presidential election then advantage republicans, middle to upper 30s then anyone’s game, 40% and over advantage Dems.
More...



A complicating factor though is that this is an ultra-off- year election. Not even congressional candidates on the ballot. So if we see early voting that is light, I am not sure yet how you can assess that by comparing it to a presidential election. Maybe the in-person voting is going to be light too. Or maybe it will be high turnout in the early voting and the in-person will also be very high. For example if the early voting were high and they also did exit votes which showed a higher than expected pub vote in there then that would be a troublesome sign for dems because they know pubs will probably do well in the in-person as well.

My point being that the early voting is a source of information, but since it is not exactly comparable to a prez election the pundits need to do a little work. More work please, less bloviating. Not sure what their set-up there is VA, might be a state where you can just get the breakdown of who was registered as pub or dem and actually voted. Gets dicey with the independents.
 
Mercor said:
It would be good to know how many votes for McAuliffe are lifted from the bloated voter rolls
Voters that have died or moved out of state..These voters look legal but hard to trace..These are mail in votes with no ID and fake signatures

The operatives on the ground know who these ghost voters are....Its how Trump lost
More...
There are more than half as many more ghost and otherwise illegitimate votes on the republican side, though.
 
Mercor said:
It would be good to know how many votes for McAuliffe are lifted from the bloated voter rolls
Voters that have died or moved out of state..These voters look legal but hard to trace..These are mail in votes with no ID and fake signatures

The operatives on the ground know who these ghost voters are....Its how Trump lost
More...

So what I will say to this is Republican strength is in their consistency to vote. You can set your clock by it, until the Georgia senate special elections. Republicans are the minority in America but they have traditionally believed in their vote as a duty. All of this undermining by Trumpians is like death by a thousand cuts to the republicans strength at the polls.

If you and the Trump brigade want to keep undermining elections, have at it, just understand your suppressing your own vote.

I can tell you right now, as a Democrat voter, I’m bored of arguing this stuff with you all. It’s played out and doesn’t get the same attention as it once did, prior to Arizona. You just look like some people who time has passed by to me.
 
TreeFrogTrader said:
A complicating factor though is that this is an ultra-off- year election. Not even congressional candidates on the ballot. So if we see early voting that is light, I am not sure yet how you can assess that by comparing it to a presidential election. Maybe the in-person voting is going to be light too. Or maybe it will be high turnout in the early voting and the in-person will also be very high. For example if the early voting were high and they also did exit votes which showed a higher than expected pub vote in there then that would be a troublesome sign for dems because they know pubs will probably do well in the in-person as well.

My point being that the early voting is a source of information, but since it is not exactly comparable to a prez election the pundits need to do a little work. More work please, less bloviating. Not sure what their set-up there is VA, might be a state where you can just get the breakdown of who was registered as pub or dem and actually voted. Gets dicey with the independents.
More...

Sure. All I’m saying is it’s an advantage, not determinant.

I don’t underestimate this Loudin count school system issue. This is an issue that can move a Governor race, swing voter - aka white, suburban mothers who vote on education, crime, and making ends meets, in that order.
 
new-to-me information. article says "4 hours ago."

a bit more at link:

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/27/dem...inias-highly-competitive-governors-race-.html


  • Democrats hold a substantial early voting lead in the hotly contested Virginia governor's race between Former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin.
  • At least 667,012 Virginians have submitted early ballots for the gubernatorial election taking place on Nov. 2.
  • Nearly 55% of early voters so far are likely Democrats, while 30% are likely Republicans.
  • Republicans could easily outperform them on Election Day and close that gap.
 
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