Trump Approval Rating Plummeting Even Among White Voters In Fox News Poll
- Thread starter Tony Stark
- Start date
Wrong would be the jem algo
"So if we unskew Rasmuessen to the 2010 template
We have Romney plus 10.
Which is where JEM anlytics has the national race."-jem
"jem is walking up the street to vote.
he then has a bunch of business things today and will then fund his trading account... for his future journal.
he will then play golf
he will then go with the kids and wife to a dinner place to celebrate.
he will then returhn home, grab a beer and watch as the the media
explains this surprise Romney victory...
the media will be coming up with all sorts of excuses..."-jem
And as we know, you just accept and pass along any mainstream media information and do not add any original thinking to it. The idea that Hillary would win was a reasonable assumption for any number of reasons. However, the idea that it was as high as 93% was absurd. Any many of us knew that she would get big votes in California and Oregon and like that but that we have an electoral college system per the constitution which created some risk for her. 93% was absurd.
The candidate who won the popular vote won the election 93% of the time in this country's history.
I have to keep this post on auto post to combat your out of context posting....
but is what I said right in front of the election....
and I was even more spot on in 2016.
---
"How many times have I showed you this to you Tony.
I posted this 2 nights before the election.... just so everyone could see exactly what I was thinking... about the algo. How many times did I tell you as AK 47 polls are not about predicting the winner but about what the electorate is doing at that point in time.
The algo nailed the proper templates and that is what the purpose of the algo was. To take the crooked polls and unskew them to a proper template. Which was simply a template which was bounded by approximately the previous presidential election turnout to perhaps the mid term turnout.
Having polls with Democrat rich samples was a joke in 2012 and a disaster for your side in 2016.
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/romney-looks-like-the-next-pres.240772/page-335
"as I posted on another thread... here is my summary of this thread.
polls slanted greater to the Dems than the 2008 the template are leftist frauds... and they should be chastised. This will include the crazy predictions made by nate silver.
polls with the 2008 template are leftists, fools, or blind.
even axelrod said last night they will not do as well as 2008.
poll between 2010 and 2008 are professional... perhaps a little partisan as they get closer to 2008.
polls with 2010... are perhaps a bit partisan to the Rs but smart.
but IMO
polls should slanted more to the Is and the Rs because that is what the turnout on Tuesday will teach us.
all these pollsters... underweighted the Is."
but is what I said right in front of the election....
and I was even more spot on in 2016.
---
"How many times have I showed you this to you Tony.
I posted this 2 nights before the election.... just so everyone could see exactly what I was thinking... about the algo. How many times did I tell you as AK 47 polls are not about predicting the winner but about what the electorate is doing at that point in time.
The algo nailed the proper templates and that is what the purpose of the algo was. To take the crooked polls and unskew them to a proper template. Which was simply a template which was bounded by approximately the previous presidential election turnout to perhaps the mid term turnout.
Having polls with Democrat rich samples was a joke in 2012 and a disaster for your side in 2016.
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/romney-looks-like-the-next-pres.240772/page-335
"as I posted on another thread... here is my summary of this thread.
polls slanted greater to the Dems than the 2008 the template are leftist frauds... and they should be chastised. This will include the crazy predictions made by nate silver.
polls with the 2008 template are leftists, fools, or blind.
even axelrod said last night they will not do as well as 2008.
poll between 2010 and 2008 are professional... perhaps a little partisan as they get closer to 2008.
polls with 2010... are perhaps a bit partisan to the Rs but smart.
but IMO
polls should slanted more to the Is and the Rs because that is what the turnout on Tuesday will teach us.
all these pollsters... underweighted the Is."
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/romney-looks-like-the-next-pres.240772/page-335#post-3671750
Nov 6, 2012
jem is walking up the street to vote.
he then has a bunch of business things today and will then fund his trading account... for his future journal.
he will then play golf
he will then go with the kids and wife to a dinner place to celebrate.
he will then returhn home, grab a beer and watch as the the media
explains this surprise Romney victory...
the media will be coming up with all sorts of excuses...
here is what I said on nov.. 7th 2016. It was perfect...
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-84#post-4355689
----
"its way too close to call. The algo was quite satisfied with the templates after the herding. So its looks like Hillary has a slight national lead overall by about 1 to 2 points after unskewing and averaging.
So its too close to call.
I find myself and the algo agreeing with Nate Silver's simulations lately.
Because most the national polls unskewed during the herding last week I now see Nate;s work as making sense. Instead of garbage in garbage out as it was before the herding... his work is now very "tradeable".
If you tell me who wins florida, colorado, and Pennsylvania... that is what I will be watching.}
and here nate silvers work which said trump could win...
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-84#post-4355689
----
"its way too close to call. The algo was quite satisfied with the templates after the herding. So its looks like Hillary has a slight national lead overall by about 1 to 2 points after unskewing and averaging.
So its too close to call.
I find myself and the algo agreeing with Nate Silver's simulations lately.
Because most the national polls unskewed during the herding last week I now see Nate;s work as making sense. Instead of garbage in garbage out as it was before the herding... his work is now very "tradeable".
If you tell me who wins florida, colorado, and Pennsylvania... that is what I will be watching.}
and here nate silvers work which said trump could win...
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