Trend Following--Another Nail In The Coffin

Quote from marketsurfer:

well, i consider this a failure to back up your claims. If its as well defined as you state, there will be no problem with testing across a significant number of vehicles/times. nothing to do with fudging numbers.

yes, you are correct--- i don't consider seeing a magician perform tricks as empirical proof of magic.

regards surf
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So what you're are saying is that you aren't smart enough to debunk what I do in person, in front of real people in a real time trading situation, is that correct?
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

what's your opinion of covell?

regards, surf
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I like Covell.. he is a great trend follower, the trend of selling overpriced seminars, books, tapes etc to the gullible.
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

Trading Markets just published this interesting bit of research regarding buying/selling stocks after consecutive up/down days.

http://biz.yahoo.com/tm/070126/15384.html


trend following, stocks, what else can be said??

surf:D
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Surf,

You claim to be a good friend of Niederhoffer and yet it seems like you don't know what his performance was in 06' or don't want to share. Which one is it?
 
Quote from illiquid:

What if there is an 80% chance buying the new high will net you 1 tick, but 20% that selling it will net you 5?

How does a statistical trend (what you call proof) differ from a price trend, in that it 'works' until it doesn't?
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Trading in a trending environment doesn't mean buying new highs or selling new lows. I means buying INTO the last high from its last low or selling INTO the last low from it's previous high. Each based on its current defined and confirmed trend.
 
Quote from ProfLogic:

So what you're are saying is that you aren't smart enough to debunk what I do in person, in front of real people in a real time trading situation, is that correct?
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not brave enough is more like it. i am certain i would be burned at the stake or stoned at the very least shoud i question the master in front of the true believers.

however, if the pay is right, i'll be happy to debate you anytime in a public forum.

surf:D
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

not brave enough is more like it. i am certain i would be burned at the stake or stoned at the very least should i question the master in front of the true believers.

however, if the pay is right, i'll be happy to debate you anytime in a public forum.

surf:D
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I offer a forum of non believers and you should be making enough money between being a shill for Niederhoffer and your hedge fund to want to embarrass me for free.
 
Quote from Maverick1:

Surf,

You claim to be a good friend of Niederhoffer and yet it seems like you don't know what his performance was in 06' or don't want to share. Which one is it?
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it's not my place to speak concerning matador.

surf

:confused:
 
Quote from ProfLogic:

I offer a forum of non believers and you should be making enough money between being a shill and your hedge fund to want to embarrass me for free.
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I have no desire to embarass you or anyone. i am sorry you feel that way.



regards, surf:eek:
 
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