Trading the Moon

Every full moon I turn into a werewolf and miss all the good reversals :( I'd be rich by now otherwise, 4.5xATR!!! Either it's Jack-Trance or Werewolf.

The other times when I should be making money, I'm reluctantly spewing nonsense in fun threads and arguing with people whose methods I can't grasp, because I think their entire system is dependent on coincidences :( Time to get the Prozac.
 
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Quote from stefan_777:[/i]

Registered: May 2008
Posts: 35
11-13-08 06:41 PM

Happy losses! The charlatans are smart not to make their own bets.

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Quote from stefan_777:

I don't care if someone called a reversal, that's easily anticipatable after a long down move into major support. If you people can not believe in unrelated coincidences, then maybe you watched too many disney movies as a kid.
More...

Let me get this straight.

1. You hammer your point that this is nonesence
2. I predict a long on the full moon and you hammer away
3. I give the long with a technical set up
4. You respond with "Happy losses!... charlatan.. not so smart
5. But now you claim it was easily anticipatable to see the reversal
6. You now see all the technicals

Have you hairs on the palms of your hands? If you had responded with "the technicals are in, this means nothing!", then fair play to you.

But to be so blatently sure that long will produce happy losses, and I'm not so smart... only to follow up after the close with profound 20 x 20 hindsight... just doesn't seem to cut it, does it?

You called short!

The moon whooped your ass real bad today Stef.
 
Quote from yoohoo:

You called short!
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I never called anything, I don't make calls, I trade intra-day. Did you even read that study you posted? It says if the full moon causes anything, it's losses. Wow today was not a good example of losses. And you labeled it "proof" LOL

Good luck with this "strategy"

What gave you the "hunch" that reversals correspond to full moons as opposed to what the statistics show in the study?

If you want to throw out the study now because it doesn't fit your "hypothesis", I understand......
 
Quote from nkhoi:

let's see yahoo tries to educate his critic days after days, weeks after weeks, years after years, decades even.
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I know, I presevere. The most time consuming bit is holding the mirror up and saying, "Hey, remember? This is you?"

But when they are right when they were wrong, and I was wrong when I was right, and up was for losers but then really was obviously correct... I give up.

:mad:

I've been having a bit of fun and Stef has made a great contribution to my sport. Thanks Stef for injecting a few moon beams into the thread.

He has a point though in that blind belief in anything is dumb. Believe no one and nothing until you prove it for yourself. Some don't trust trend lines, some swear by them. Some believe in indicators, others laugh at them.

As for the Moon - well I think I've stuck my neck out quite a few times and still got my head on. After that, love it or hate it, yoohoo says the Full Moon Rules.:cool:
 
I love the full moon, it's beautiful. But I'll check up next full moon, see how much skin's in the game.

Chances are we won't be trading sideways, so you're already in luck.
 
Quote from rhk:

stefan....
How many naked women do u have to walk by ..to figure out your hard on may not be a randon happening !!!!

Sounds like u have your own "comforting" set of beliefs.
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What is it with you and naked women?

I have an uncomfortable answer for you...

I would my call hard on a random happening if it turned out that I was seeing transgender girls from a decieving angle...hahaha

Ya never know what you're seeing....see my point?
 
Quote from stefan_777:

I never called anything, I don't make calls, I trade intra-day. Did you even read that study you posted? It says if the full moon causes anything, it's losses. Wow today was not a good example of losses. And you labeled it "proof" LOL

Good luck with this "strategy"

What gave you the "hunch" that reversals correspond to full moons as opposed to what the statistics show in the study?

If you want to throw out the study now because it doesn't fit your "hypothesis", I understand......
More...

Roll up! Roll up!
STEF "STUDY" SPECIAL

5. Conclusion
This paper investigates the relation between lunar phases and stock returns for a sample of 48 countries. STRONG global evidence indicates that stock returns are LOWER ON DAY AROUND A FULL MOON. (page 23)

(What this means Stef is it makes a low, like we did, around the full moon... which is what the thread is all about.)

(cont'd page 24) The POSITIVE association identified between LUNAR PHASES AND STOCK RETURNS suggest that it might be valuable to go beyond a rational asset pricing framework to explore investor behaviour.

(What this means Stef is that the low around the full moon produces positive stock returns... that mean UP not DOWN. Then it's suggested you might want to try something other than the rational you were using.

Now as you confuse UP with DOWN and POSITIVE with NEGATIVE the rational bit might be confusing.)

Sorry if I got it wrong about you being short. I got confused when I went long and you wrote "Happy losses!" I somehow considered you thought going long was making a loss therefore you were short.

Now that I see how you read the study I ahhh, er, understand!

Thanks again Stef, and yes in the past I have misread lots of things and the jokes been on me. But this one's all yours!:D :D
 
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