The casino analogy is used in association with trading continually, and it is indeed a very good one.
So where does the competition element come into the equation?
If you are a gambler, a punter, you may well be going into the casino and placing your bets in a hope that you will win. You are betting against the house, and you will win some and you will lose some, but given enough time, you will always lose, because the games you are playing have the 'edge' stacked against you, not because the table is croocked, but because the odds of success favour the house winning over time due to the rules of the game.
So you are competing against the house in the hope that you will win overall, not realising that you are in fact doomed to failure. And yet Gamblers keep coming back because they win just often enough for the idea of winning to be addictive and so much fun that they want that buzz, that high, and continue to have the belief that the 'Big Win' is just around the corner, and that lady luck will smile upon them. They all dream of being the person that breaks the house, yet sadly they never will.
So, let's examine this from the house's point of view.
Every time $1000 is bet at their tables, they know that out of that $1000 of bets, they will win some of them, and they will lose others.
But they also know that they have a small mathemtical edge that means that out of that $1000 that passes across their tables, in spite of losing some and winning others, they will get to keep about $50 of it. So by the same token, if $1bn crosses their tables, their edge dictates that they will get to keep $50m of it. The only thing they don't know is which individual $$$ of that $1bn are going to be the 50 million individual $$$ they get to keep.
With that kind of edge, they can afford lavish hospitality in lavish hotels to both attract people to their establishemnt, and keep them there and happy and most importantly keep them turning over $$$ at the tables. It is a pure exercise in size. They know that while each individual bet they may win or lose, overall they will win, and they will monitor that edge very carefully in order to make sure they never lose it. If they were to lose it they would very quickly find another edge in order to contunue the game.
The win or loss from each individual bet is meaningless to the casino in such circumstances, only the overall picture and edge matters. The casino is not competing with the players/punters, because it does not need to.
In trading, if you are competing, then you are putting yourself in the position of one of the punters, and turning the market into the house. You are abandoning all the elements that act in your favour like finding and operating an edge, being able to cherry pick which edges you will exploit and which you will not, and only using the best of the edges that you can identify. You are allowing the market to have all the edges, and to exploit them against you.
The market is comprised of a very large number of individual players.
Some (a small number) of those players operate as the house, and operate with an edge that they have identified, tested, monitor closely, and guard carefully. To these players, the individual trades are unimportant in the grand scheme of things, because operating their edge carefully, methodically and consistently dictates that like the casino (house) their equity curve will continue to rise.
The remainder (vast majority) of the players are the punters, who have no edge, or one that is not properly tested, or not fully believed and so deviated from, not executed consistently etc.
The question is -
If you are trading in the market with a consistent edge, and exectuing that edge consistently and methodically, where does competition come into the equation? Are you not in fact operating as the house?
best
Natalie