Originally posted by AAAintheBeltway
I'm not a big fan of overly detailed plans. The markets are unpredictable. You have to retain flexibility. I do think it is a good idea to outline a daily routine, know your risk and money management parameters cold and have a system or method you intend to use. You apparently have all this down. You will never eliminate the risk from trading. Don't delude yourself into thinking a detailed plan will insulate you from risk or losses.
For a newbie, the best plan is to start using only a fraction of your available money. Keep the rest in a separate account, not with the broker(s). Start off trading only one timeframe. Keep things simple and controllable. As you gain experience you will appreciate what is important and what is not. You can refine your plan.
For your actual plan oneof the most important elements is knowing what economic releases are coming on that day.
Good suggestions....thanks.
From a psych. point of view, I decided to go through the same routine I did to go to work, (shower, shave, get dressed, etc.).
I setup one of our bedrooms as a office that I consider my new place of employment. I wear a suit and start after eating breakfast. I treat everything I do on the computer as my new work so that I never treat it as a hobby. Someday I might be able to roll out of bed and trade. Right now I need to feel like it's my new job.
My plan calls for risking a maximum of 20% of my funds for the worst drawdown I can expect, so I'm not too concerned about losing. I'll be trading within limits right from the start. If I lose the 20%, then I'm done trading. Plan B is to buy a franchise for a couple of Subway shops and try to get by.
My basic plan is very simple. Buy intraday breakouts with a trailing stop. If I lose, try again, repeat until end-of-day. So far my worst losing streak has been 3 days. I backtested the idea on 9 years of intraday data I found at
http://www.traders2traders.com. I found that the max. losing streak was 12 losses in a row. After reading about Monte Carlo analysis I bought Prosizer to test the trades randomly. The worst losing streak went to 18. My 20% risk point assumes 26 losing trades in a row, so hopefully I'm going into this with my eyes open. If slippage is worse than modeled, then I'll need to make adjustments. I'm sure flexibility is very important.
All this preparation is to improve my confidence before risking real money. Hopefully I'll be able to pull the trigger the same as with the paper trades after 10 losses in a row. I'm sure my nerves will be my biggest problem,....that's why I'm trading mechanically.
Thanks again.