Trading in Luxury

update on vol switch trade
tue sep 26, signal was a caution
buy 12 shares XIV, $93.50, $1,122

as of oct 4,
holding 12 shares XIV, $99.60 EOD, total $1,195.20
starting value, $502.90 jan, 2017
 
cash track trade track

week ahead oct 9, things to possibly watch out for,

No Ko Kim making threats

Monday 9, USA holiday, brings out the anti-celebrators

tue 10, conference organized by Jim Grant with Jim Chanos, Marc Cohodes, and other big dollar guys, could be sparks in some stocks or sectors

wed 11, release of Fed minutes from last meeting

thu 12, JPM e/r

fri 13, could be anti-celebrators for Friday 13th
fri 13, BAC, WFC, JBHT, e/r
fri 13, option expiry week 2 for October
 
from optionprofitsdaily October 6, 2017

A Bear Call Spread in COST

For COST, we could sell an October 20 $160 call for about $1.30 and buy an October 20 $162.50 call for about $0.70. This trade generates a credit of $60, which is the difference in the amount of premium for the call that is sold and the call that is bought multiplied by 100 since each contract covers 100 shares. That is the maximum potential profit on the trade.

The maximum risk on the trade is $180. The risk is found by subtracting the difference in the strike prices ($250 or $2.50 time 100 since each contract covers 100 shares) and then subtracting the premium received ($70).

This trade offers a return of about 39% for a holding period that is about two weeks. This is a significant return on the amount of money at risk. This trade delivers the maximum gain if COST is below $160 when the options expire, a likely event given the stock’s trend.

Call spreads can be used to generate high returns on small amounts of capital several times a year, offering larger percentage gains for small investors willing to accept the risks of this strategy. Those risks, in dollar terms, are relatively small, about $160 for this trade in COST
 
update on vol switch trade
signal is short vol with caution

as of oct 13,
holding 12 shares XIV, $107.84 EOD, total $1,294.08
starting value, $502.90 jan, 2017
 
cash track, trade track

earnings of interest for week of Oct 23

Tue 24, MCD, GM, CAT, CMG

Wed 25, KO, FCX, TSLA

Thu 26, TWTR, F, MO, AMZN, BIDU, MSFT

Fri 27, CVX, XOM, RCL
 
update on vol switch trade
signal switched on Nov 2, to long vol with caution
current plan is to go to cash

as of Nov 2,
sold 12 shares XIV, $111.03,
total cash $1,332.36
starting value, $502.90 jan, 2017

this was a trial with a small amount of actual capital,
I am planning to continue this trade
 
vol switch trade

wanted to compare buy and hold to the switches we made

if we had just did buy and hold on the XIV,
$1110.30 vs $1,332.36, so we are ahead by $222.33
 
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