TopstepTrader and Patak Trading Partners- Any and all questions answered here

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Quote from Maverick74:

I disagree, I get e-mails everyday in my inbox when a guy goes live. They are backing one to two new guys a week. Your "assumption" is false. And I agree, most of those guys are probably just lucky and not good and that is the real problem here. Those lucky guys generate unlucky losses for the owner. You are making way too many assumptions. As a trader, you need to err on the side of being wrong, not being right.

All the guys who are going live everyday are first timers. This means they are getting at approximately 300-500 combiners per month. Maths for the guys who reach live the first time is pretty straightforward and 2200$ per 10 guys does hold (ignoring overheads).

The only number that is causing confusion is the below category:
So, please go to your emails and count and (please tell me also) how many guys went live, were sent back to combines and then went live again. And also the number of guys who repeated this process 2 times. This number will make all the difference. And my contention is that this number is incredibly small. I showed this mathematically in a post earlier - SteveNYC also seeked a clarification on my numbers and then agreed with my response. Not sure where that post is - maybe in this thread itself.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

OK, I just went back and checked. They funded 8 guys in the month of August. That's 2 guys a week.

For simplicity lets assume - all first timers (first timers means not those people who are doing combines for the first time, rather it means those people who are moving to live for the first time (they could be in their 5th combine or 2nd - that doesn't matter here).

So, assuming 5% success rate, they have roughly 200 first time combiners currently. For 2% success rates, 400 first time combiners.

EDIT: How many of these 8 guys are 2nd timers in the sense they went to live first time, then back to combine and then back to live again? It will be great if you can review traders from Jun and July also, if you have access to that information.
 
Quote from gmst:

All the guys who are going live everyday are first timers. This means they are getting at approximately 300-500 combiners per month. Maths for the guys who reach live the first time is pretty straightforward and 2200$ per 10 guys does hold (ignoring overheads).

The only number that is causing confusion is the below category:
So, please go to your emails and count and (please tell me also) how many guys went live, were sent back to combines and then went live again. And also the number of guys who repeated this process 2 times. This number will make all the difference. And my contention is that this number is incredibly small. I showed this mathematically in a post earlier - SteveNYC also seeked a clarification on my numbers and then agreed with my response. Not sure where that post is - maybe in this thread itself.

500? No way! I'll take that bet right now! No way are they getting 500 "new" combiners every month. Michael, I know you don't want to give out numbers, but please verify this. The closest data we have is back in April they had 500 total combiners. Which Michael said a large part of were guys that rolled over their refund. And April was a really good trading month as well so a lot of guys were compelled to jump in. No way is this company getting 6k unique combines a year. I'm offering size on this market right now!!!!!!
 
Quote from Maverick74:

500? No way! I'll take that bet right now! No way are they getting 500 "new" combiners every month. Michael, I know you don't want to give out numbers, but please verify this. The closest data we have is back in April they had 500 total combiners. Which Michael said a large part of were guys that rolled over their refund. And April was a really good trading month as well so a lot of guys were compelled to jump in. No way is this company getting 6k unique combines a year. I'm offering size on this market right now!!!!!!

Agreed, given 8 live in August, they are not 500. Pls read post above this one.

I had said 500 here, assuming 20 live traders everyday - since you had mentioned that you are getting emails everyday with a trader going to live.
 
Quote from Lucias:

in case it was lost..

Michael... I tell you what I'll do, I'll take you up on the free offer but it has to be for the 2k risk limit per day combine but I'll only take it when Ninjatrader is ready. You can post my dollar results too but not my trades. 10 day is fine.

I do agree with GMST that its setup as a scheme to generate combine fees.

Mav or anyone else who is saying you can't set this up to generate money.. sure you can.

Just look at a distribution graph to understand this...

Losers
Big Losers
Make a mistake/hit loss limit
Small Losers
Winners that break a rule/make mistake
=> $$$ PROFIT FROM ALL ABOVE
Winners
Big winners
Solid Winners
=> Break even on these "trades"
Huge Winners (3 std dev)
=> Small payout


You can adjust the difficulty, add silly rules (like they have), or what you have. Now at end of month, you just tally up your profits and fund enough traders from your combine profits. Too many pass? No problem. You've enough silly rules to find something wrong with most of them.. sit down.. have a pow wow talk about how they need to do better but show promise.. free combine. Of course then there are the upsales... room.. squak.. membership fees. etc

Why make a lot of rules for trader getting his refund? If combine fees aren't the revenue generation method then why even charge it? Mav, that's why I made a point to show that you don't get refunded even if profitable -- they added more strings so they can keep your money. It is a matter of principle and shows what the true nature of operation is.

Why not make it so that the trader has to trade a least 80% of days out of 3 months time? Make it free. How many will trade 80% of days for 3 months? You don't need to charge a combine fee to find serious traders.

I think its a great business for the combine owners.. Even in the "legit" form its a good business. and then if you are really sophisticated you can run data mining operatoins on the traders silently in the background... gather unique quant data for automating any profitable traders you find... No need to tell about the owners.. if one happens to be phd quant.

Lucias/gmst/critics- you guys are hard to please. Sorry we are not negotiating the terms. It is a reasonable fair offer for both parties. You show us you can produce. We will stake you.

A deposit for the Combine is required or anyone who entered the program would not take it seriously and instead would do whatever they wanted. That wastes everyone's time. And yes, Combines are costly to set up, manage and evaluate.

The rules to receive your money deposit back, which you call silly are as follows:

Deposit will be refunded once all Combine trading days (10 or 20 days) have been completed, if the following requirements have been met:

1. Daily loss limit has not been hit or exceeded (this is basically don't lose $1,000 in a day. Hell, stop at $999 and you're good.)

2. Overall Winning Day % of 50 or greater (so in 10 trading days (which is the Combine length I proposed to the critical ET member) we are ONLY asking that the account be in the positive for 5 out of 10 of them. Whether that is $1 or $10k. Again you are good if you do this)

3. Each product traded has a Trading Average greater than zero ($0) (If you want to trade a bunch of products you better make money in them or why trade them? we recommend trading less markets, preferably one, and make sure you make at least $1 and again you are good)

4. Each product traded has met 2 out of 3 performance requirements, which are as follows:

- Overall Average Win greater than Overall Average Loss (averaging more in your winners than losers is something a trader should be looking to do, keeps the account growing)
- Overall Average Win Duration greater than Overall Average Loss Duration (we've all heard cut your losers let your winners ride. Well that saying isn't just a saying because it is fun to say.. it makes sense)
- Total Win % of 45 or greater (how low should this be? this is a fair standard you should set for yourself.. in our opinion of course)

(now, the above are basic trading mechanics. We only want to see 2 of the 3 met)

You can see a Trade Report of a 10-Day Combine that has met ALL (3 out of 3 performance requirements, which are listed directly above) here: http://www.topsteptrader.com/ViewSoftwareTutorial/t4 -- Keep in mind, to meet the Combine objective and deposit refund requirements, ONLY 2 out 3 of the performance requirements have to be met.

Now, if our standard evaluation criteria for meeting the Combine objective or refund/rollover requirements as mentioned above does not work for you WE WILL listen to your evaluation proposal if it falls within the guidelines here: http://www.topsteptrader.com/customevaluation


In conclusion, if all of this does not work we are clearly at a point that you as a trader are not a fit for what we are looking for and it is best we both move on. Fair enough?

mp
 
Quote from MichaelPatak:

Lucias/gmst/critics- you guys are hard to please. Sorry we are not negotiating the terms. It is a reasonable fair offer for both parties. You show us you can produce. We will stake you.

A deposit for the Combine is required, or anyone who entered a program would never take it serious and do whatever they want. That wastes everyone's time. And yes, Combines are costly to set up, manage and evaluate.

The rules you call silly just to receive your money deposit back are:

Deposit will be refunded once all Combine trading days (10 or 20 days) have been completed, if the following requirements have been met:

1. Daily loss limit has not been hit or exceeded (this is basically don't lose $1,000 in a day. Hell, stop at $999 and you're good.)

2. Overall Winning Day % of 50 or greater (in 10 trading days (which is the Combine length I proposed to the critical ET member) we are ONLY asking to have the account in the positive for 5 out of 10 of them. Whether that is $1 or $10k. Again you are good if you do this)

3. Each product traded has a Trading Average greater than zero ($0) (If you want to trade a bunch of products you better make money in them or why trade them? So we recommend trading less markets, preferably one, and make sure you make at least $1 and again you are good)

4. Each product traded has met 2 out of 3 performance requirements, which are as follows:

- Overall Average Win greater than Overall Average Loss (averaging more in your winners than losers is something a trader should be looking to do, keeps the account growing)
- Overall Average Win Duration greater than Overall Average Loss Duration (we've all heard cut your losers let your winners ride. Well that saying isn't just a saying because it is fun to say.. it makes sense)
- Total Win % of 45 or greater (how low should this be? this is a fair standard you should set for yourself.. in our opinion of course)

(now, the above are basic trading mechanics. We only want to see 2 of the 3 met)

You can see a Trade Report of a 10-Day Combine that has met ALL (3 out of 3 performance requirements, which are listed directly above) here: http://www.topsteptrader.com/ViewSoftwareTutorial/t4 -- Keep in mind, to meet the Combine objective and deposit refund requirements, ONLY 2 out 3 of the performance requirements have to met.

Now if our standard evaluation criteria for meeting the Combine objective or refund/rollover requirements as mentioned above does not work for you WE WILL listen to your proposal and you can send it in if it falls within the guidelines here: http://www.topsteptrader.com/customevaluation


In conclusion, if all of this does not work we are clearly at a point that you as a trader are not a fit for what we are looking for and it is best we both move on. Fair enough?

mp

If a sceptic tries and fails, all it proves is that someone who did not believe it could be done failed to do it.

There were a couple of chaps here who expressed interest in doing this. Why not extend the free offer to them? At least even if they fail, you know it is something they really wanted to do.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Here is the last guy to go live this week. Lucias, if he can do it, so can you!!!!

http://www.topsteptrader.com/fundedtradereport

Thanks maverick I see you are on our email list. ha.

Yes Lancer started trading LIVE on Tuesday. He is up in his account, so that is good to see. He has the same parameters as his Combine. I really like this guy as he scratched two Combines prior to meeting the objective. That shows me he is a sound trader and we are happy to have him aboard.

All live trader know it is now up to them to keep themselves on the funded account. He is remote as all live traders are... We try not to bother live traders as they get accustomed to the live market.

Thanks for the help with the link.

mp
 
Michael, its your casino. Just a few notes

1. It will be hard for me to pass. At my best I can do 25%-30% of my max limit per day (while rarely hitting that limit) but I don't always trade at my best. I've did extremely well in my live account since going live (challenging the 100% net level) and during no month would I ever pass the combine. I came close 1 month though. In fact, to achieve combine results live.. one needs to achieve a 48x return on risk. I've never did this. I can do 100%-200%-300%-400% returns and not pass the combine objectives consistently (based on my current performance). Hell, if you can do that.. all you need to do is scrape together 1k to trade for a living... scrape together 2k and you can be making 100k per year... wow now that's selling the dream!

2. You claim from get go that the combine fees were to demonstrate seriousness. I've already demonstrated seriousness by risking my real capial in the market. I already showed you that there are other ways to measure seriousness and combine fees aren't the best way.

3. You claim to treat your traders like franchisee athletes... as a serious trader, I demand serious tools. I'm not going to have my performance and possible confidence suffer because you insist on using the sub standard T4 DOM. I tried the demo and did much better in my live acccount then I did on the T4 because the T4 DOM was so poorly designed.

Micheal, let's get real... you're not going to attract the best.

Let's get real also.. there's no way your going to be $1 off your risk limit in the live markets.. the trader who wants to ensure he doesnt hit that limit has to cut it to about 85% .
 
Quote from hitnrun:

michael patak , stated that there are 27 live funded accounts

that does not mean the traders are making much money

if a trader is just breaking even & not doing much volume , then no one is making squat in the live account

It is difficult to find profitable traders these days , especially in this market

for traders that are managing there own money
you probably have more profitable traders with stocks
then you do someone trading the futures market

The key questions are !

How many traders in the live program are net profitable each month ?

How many traders actually draw a check monthly ?

hitnrun- You are correct in saying it is difficult to find traders that can produce. We have quite a few that are net profitable each month though profits are not out of this world. They tend to do their Combine performance cut in half when live.

Many do not pull from their account (withdraw as you say) though we do have a couple do it from time to time every month or so.

The live traders like to keep it in their account. It helps takes the pressure off. They will have weeks or months that they make $5k for example then lose half it next month and back and forth. We work with those types on their consistency.. some get it and some don't.. lots of learning curves whether live or in the Combine.

mp
 
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