Quote from dsq:
For the last 3 weeks the market has rallied off every huge bearish news event.
Thats kind of a bullish thing.Not saying that the market shouldnt tank but it doesnt want to now.Seller fatigue maybe.
I havent traded much in the last few weeks since the market started trading higher off bad news and still short the rallies but the markets strength is impressive and is signal of something pointing upwards rather than downwards.
Imagine if some good news comes out how the market will explode up...
I agree. This is a clear sign that accumulation has begun. It is clear that the Feds have decided to backstop all large financial institutions and their debts, to whatever limits that are required. It is also clear that they are developing fiscal and monetary policies to help homeowners rollover mortgage debts at substantial savings to homeowners (the cost being borne by taxpayers and savers). Critical industries such as auto are also being backstopped. On top of this, the government has announced massive fiscal spending to jump start the economy. Plus, corporate input costs will be substantially less next year, thanks to the deflated commodities. Year-over-year comparisons should be very favorable.
Who knows, how quickly the economy will recover. But the Feds have made a decision that they will print what ever is required to avoid deflation and recession, so really the downside risk is nominal compared to the upside potential. As long as time is of no object (and have no timeframe in mind), the rewards for a bullish play at this time should be substantial.
