Quote from atticus:
Epilogue. His white-paper on CMA:
http://www.advisorworld.com/2010/03/23/capital-management-arbitrage
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Capital Management Arbitrage
Submitted by beau on Tue, 03/23/2010 - 23:15
My interpretation of the theories of value creation I've studied are fundamental to my allocation decisions. I have learned that being a capital management contractor is on the order of being a "Financial Mercenary."
Arbitrage is explained simply as the natural progression and push towards a theoretical efficient point at which all investors agree on the price. Unfortunately, transactionalism, not necessarily the unethical kind of churning brokers do sometime, puts too much emphasis on the frequency of trading.
International Capital Asset Pricing Model Arbitrage Pricing Theory of Capital Management (iCAPMAPTCM) would indicate that our assumption of risk free rates in our portfolios needs to be re-considered in light of the jump in M1. The RFR is not simply an interest rate that can be held to maturity for a guaranteed profit b/c inflationary pressures will reduce the value of long term bonds substantially. I would like to say bonds are attractive, but being at what is likely a 20 year low in interest rates, I don't believe our bonds are anymore "risk free" than any other government bond you can buy. It is for that reason I suggest TIP for an "Inflation Plus 4" return.
With the advent of inflation protected bonds, I think we need to re-examine the implications of the RFR in our Capital Allocation Models. If we eliminate "inflation risk", a leveraged account in TIP should have no problem doing 2 digit returns regularly.
The idea I had about an Arbitrage Pricing Theory of Capital Management came when I made the connection that the CAPM denotes under- or overvaluation. The question is not necessarily what to buy than it is "What is the most efficient way to Arbitrage this mispricing?" Put that way, the CAPM becomes the iCAPMAPTCM if we add an exogenous assumption that we can count on foreign inflows into our country to exploit our capital markets inefficiency, which is not bad b/c the price usually increases when new money comes in. The CAPM can be used to measure "Arbitrage Efficiency" if it becomes a daily value that gets calculated, and if we experience "positive risk adjusted returns", the question I believe goes back to whether "these positive risk adjusted returns" were "earned too quickly." I think an Alpha-Like Measurement of CAPM model trading adds a level of clarity to the CAPM when it accounts for international inflows.
I think that's enough lecture, and I'm working out the math and didn't think equations on my blog post would be too attractive.
Read more: http://www.advisorworld.com/2010/03/23/capital-management-arbitrage#ixzz1eZxbW0JB
ICAPMAPTCM bitches!
You see right through me... No, I don't have a plan to earn $1 billion. I know that I can't compete with people like you, so I have given up trying.Quote from bwolinsky:
I appreciate that, Martinghoul.
My only response to criticism centers around asking whether any critic actually has a plan in place that they are following to earn $1 billion. Don't have one? I'm sure you're not alone.
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Quote from BeatingtheSP500:
I don't know why you guys are wasting time on this. Presenting logic and reason to the irrational is not going to result in the other side saying "Oh yes I see your point and perhaps I'll reconsider my position"
Wow! I had no idea this could get any better...Quote from atticus:
And witness the birth of our collective awareness of how present levels of technology can absolutely revolutionize the way we conduct our lives, and how we govern our diplomatic relationships with Democratic Global Society and American Capitalism.
We would like our output to be as flexible about its input for our own sanity in performing quadrillion total bit calculations to arrive at Optimized Variables through both Parametrizational techniques related to the disproportionate Scalar Conversion Fractal Mathematics Theoretically Derived Factors affecting the underlying volatility of the portfolio uniformly that, over many iterations, should converge and be Plainly Scalar, meaning any combination of optimally allocated pyramidial combinitorical options can be taken into consideration and adjusted for that investorâs and advisorâs chosen counselled level of risk .
Looking for the other shoe (bold text in your gibberish). Thanks.
Parameterizational
Combinatorical
Pyramidal